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Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories

Author

Listed:
  • Mahajan, Parag

    (University of Delaware)

  • Patki, Dhiren

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Boston)

  • Stüber, Heiko

    (Hochschule der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (HdBA))

Abstract

Workers who enter the labor market during recessions experience lasting earnings losses, but the role of non-pay amenities in exacerbating or counteracting these losses remains unknown. Using population-scale data from Germany, we find that labor market entry during recessions generates a 5 percent reduction in earnings cumulated over the first decade of experience. Implementing a revealed-preference estimator of employer quality that aggregates information from the universe of worker moves across employers, we find that 17 percent of recession-induced earnings losses are compensated by non-pay amenities. Purely pecuniary estimates can therefore overstate the welfare costs of labor market entry during recessions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahajan, Parag & Patki, Dhiren & Stüber, Heiko, 2024. "Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories," IZA Discussion Papers 16898, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp16898
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Steven J. Davis & John Haltiwanger, 1992. "Gross Job Creation, Gross Job Destruction, and Employment Reallocation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 819-863.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    earnings inequality; recessions; non-pay amenities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J32 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions

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