IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2019-126.html

Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid

Author

Listed:
  • Ioana Moldovan
  • Susan Yang Shu-Chun
  • Luis-Felipe Zanna

Abstract

This paper assesses the optimal setting of fiscal spending and foreign exchange rate intervention policies in response to volatile foreign aid, in a small open economy model that incorporates typical features of low-income countries. Within a class of policy rules, it jointly considers the optimal aid spending and international reserve accumulation policies. The results show that it is optimal to adjust government spending gradually in response to unpredictable fluctuations in aid, while partially accumulating foreign exchange reserves to offset Dutch disease effects. Also, allocating relatively more of the government spending to productive public investment, and less to government consumption, is welfare improving.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioana Moldovan & Susan Yang Shu-Chun & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2019. "Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid," IMF Working Papers 2019/126, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/126
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=46744
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fogli, Alessandra & Perri, Fabrizio, 2015. "Macroeconomic volatility and external imbalances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-15.
    2. Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Klapper, Leora, 2012. "Measuring financial inclusion : the Global Findex Database," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6025, The World Bank.
    3. Jessica Goldberg, 2016. "Kwacha Gonna Do? Experimental Evidence about Labor Supply in Rural Malawi," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 129-149, January.
    4. Julia Faltermeier & Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina, 2017. "Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Dutch Disease," IMF Working Papers 2017/070, International Monetary Fund.
    5. William B. Peterman, 2016. "Reconciling Micro And Macro Estimates Of The Frisch Labor Supply Elasticity," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 54(1), pages 100-120, January.
    6. Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2018. "Government spending effects in low-income countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 201-219.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Isabel Z. Martínez & Emmanuel Saez & Michael Siegenthaler, 2021. "Intertemporal Labor Supply Substitution? Evidence from the Swiss Income Tax Holidays," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(2), pages 506-546, February.
    2. Nanda, Kajole, 2019. "Dynamics between Bank-led Financial Inclusion and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies: The Case of India," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 95-121.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Burundi: Staff Report for the 2014 Article IV Consultation, Fifth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/293, International Monetary Fund.
    4. World Bank & International Finance Corporation, 2014. "The Fruit of Her Labor : Promoting Gender-Equitable Agribusiness in Papua New Guinea," World Bank Publications - Reports 21085, The World Bank Group.
    5. Richard M. Kiai & Stephen I. Ng’ang’a & David N. Kiragu & Josphat K. Kinyanjui, 2016. "The Effect of Business Environment on Investment among Financially Included Youth in Kenya," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(4), pages 109-121, October.
    6. Bahia, Kalvin & Castells, Pau & Cruz, Genaro & Masaki, Takaaki & Pedrós, Xavier & Pfutze, Tobias & Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos & Winkler, Hernán, 2024. "The welfare effects of mobile broadband internet: Evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    7. Simon M. S. Lo, 2025. "Labor Supply Elasticity in a Search Friction Model," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 78(4), pages 712-735, August.
    8. Sposi, Michael, 2022. "Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 1-14.
    9. Suárez, Sandra L., 2016. "Poor people׳s money: The politics of mobile money in Mexico and Kenya," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 945-955.
    10. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vincenzo Quadrini, "undated". "Unstable Prosperity:How Globalization Made the World Economy More Volatile," PIER Working Paper Archive 23-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    11. Roudari, Soheil & Homayounifar, Masoud & Salimifar, Mostafa, 2020. "أثیر سرمایه اجتماعی بر مطالبات بانکی از بخش خصوصی و دولتی با تأکید بر کارآیی مخارج دول [The Impact of Social Capital on Bank Claims on the Private and Public Sectors with an Emphasis on Government Expenditure Efficiency]," MPRA Paper 127012, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 29 Oct 2020.
    12. DJINKPO, Medard, 2019. "A DSGE model for Fiscal Policy Analysis in The Gambia," MPRA Paper 97874, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Dec 2019.
    13. Zhang, Yunhan & Liu, Zhixin & Jin, Hao, 2025. "The domestic and spillover effects of fiscal consolidation: The role of fiscal instruments, exchange rate regimes, and capital controls," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    14. Siphelele Rulashe & Syden Mishi & Sibanisezwe Khumalo & Desiree Hunter, 2025. "An empirical assessment of financial prudence among South African individuals: investigating savings and investment behaviour," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 14(3), pages 265-280, April.
    15. Peter J. Morgan & Victor Pontines, 2018. "Financial Stability And Financial Inclusion: The Case Of Sme Lending," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(01), pages 111-124, March.
    16. Karthik Balasubramanian & David F. Drake, 2015. "Service Quality, Inventory and Competition: An Empirical Analysis of Mobile Money Agents in Africa," Harvard Business School Working Papers 15-059, Harvard Business School, revised Oct 2015.
    17. Filipiak, Ute, 2016. "Trusting financial institutions: Out of reach, out of trust?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 200-214.
    18. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Colombia: Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/167, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Grohmann, Antonia & Klühs, Theres & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2018. "Does financial literacy improve financial inclusion? Cross country evidence," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 111, pages 84-96.
    20. Abhijit Banerjee & Dean Karlan & Hannah Trachtman & Christopher R. Udry, 2020. "Does Poverty Change Labor Supply? Evidence from Multiple Income Effects and 115,579 Bags," NBER Working Papers 27314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/126. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.