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Financial Integration: A New Methodology and An Illustration

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  • Mr. Andrew K. Rose
  • Mr. Robert P Flood

Abstract

This paper develops a simple methodology to test for asset integration, and applies it within and between American stock markets. Our technique relies on estimating and comparing expected risk-free rates across assets. Expected risk-free rates are allowed to vary freely over time, constrained only by the fact that they must be equal across (risk-adjusted) assets in well integrated markets. Assets are allowed to have standard risk characteristics, and are constrained by a factor model of covariances over short time periods. We find that implied expected risk-free rates vary dramatically over time, unlike short interest rates. Further, internal integration in the S&P 500 market is never rejected and is generally not rejected in the NASDAQ. Integration between the NASDAQ and the S&P, however, is always rejected dramatically.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Andrew K. Rose & Mr. Robert P Flood, 2004. "Financial Integration: A New Methodology and An Illustration," IMF Working Papers 2004/110, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2004/110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Karolyi, G. Andrew & Stulz, Rene M., 2003. "Are financial assets priced locally or globally?," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 16, pages 975-1020, Elsevier.
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    5. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
    6. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R, 1995. "Time-Varying World Market Integration," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 403-444, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. De Santis, Roberto A. & Sarno, Lucio, 2008. "Assessing the benefits of international portfolio diversification in bonds and stocks," Working Paper Series 883, European Central Bank.
    2. Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Sergio Luis Schmukler & Neeltje Van Horen, 2006. "International Financial Integration through the Law of One Price," Business School Working Papers 2006-01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    3. Claus, Edda & Lucey, Brian M., 2012. "Equity market integration in the Asia Pacific region: Evidence from discount factors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 137-163.
    4. Jennifer Corbett, 2010. "Asian Financial Integration," Chapters, in: Noel Gaston & Ahmed M. Khalid (ed.), Globalization and Economic Integration, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Ying Xu & Jennifer Corbett, 2019. "Using Network Method to Measure Financial Interconnection," NBER Working Papers 26499, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Evans, Martin D.D. & Hnatkovska, Viktoria V., 2014. "International capital flows, returns and world financial integration," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 14-33.
    8. Rose, Andrew-K, 2004. "Equity Integration in Japan: An Application of a New Method," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 22(2), pages 1-17, May.
    9. Arribas, Iván & Peiró-Palomino, Jesús & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2020. "Is full banking integration desirable?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    10. Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2011. "Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia: An Asset Price Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2011/242, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Xu, Ying & Corbett, Jenny, 2020. "What a network measure can tell us about financial interconnectedness and output volatility," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    12. Flood, Robert P & Rose, Andrew, 2004. "Estimating the Expected Marginal Rate of Substitution: Exploiting Idiosyncratic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 4684, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. P N Smith & S Sorensen & M R Wickens, "undated". "An Asset Market Integration Test Based on Observable Macroeconomic Stochastic Discount Factors," Discussion Papers 03/14, Department of Economics, University of York.
    14. Claeys, Peter & Moreno, Rosina & Suriñach, Jordi, 2012. "Debt, interest rates, and integration of financial markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 48-59.
    15. Pérez, Francisco & Arribas, Iván & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2009. "Openness and geographic neutrality: How do they contribute to international banking integration?," MPRA Paper 17211, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Arribas, Iván & Pérez, Francisco & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2011. "A network perspective on international banking integration," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 831-851.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; Standard and Poor's; risk-free; rate; intertemporal; asset; market; expected; price; stock; conditional; open-economy asset-market integration concept; NASDAQ portfolio; cross-market condition; NASDAQ market; portfolio variance; Stocks; Stock markets; Factor models; Asset prices; Time series analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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