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Trade Liberalization and Real Exchange Rate Movement

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  • Ms. Xiangming Li

Abstract

Although theory suggests that the real exchange rate should depreciate after a credible trade liberalization but could appreciate temporarily with a noncredible one, little empirical evidence exists. Unlike existing studies that use either indirect tests or unreliable openness measures, this paper uses an event study based on carefully documented trade liberalization in 45 countries. The result shows that real exchange rates depreciate after countries open their economies to trade. In countries with multiple liberalization episodes, however, real exchange rates appreciate during early episodes, suggesting that partial or noncredible trade liberalizations are associated with real appreciation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Xiangming Li, 2003. "Trade Liberalization and Real Exchange Rate Movement," IMF Working Papers 2003/124, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2003/124
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nepal, Rabindra & Tisdell, Clem & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2017. "Economic Reforms and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in European and Central Asian Transition Economies," Economics, Ecology and Environment Working Papers 253076, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    2. Andrew K. Rose & Saktiandi Supaat & Jacob Braude, 2009. "Fertility and the real exchange rate," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 496-518, May.
    3. Mesfin Bezuneh & Zelealem Yiheyis, 2014. "Has Trade Liberalization Improved Food Availability In Developing Countries? An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 63-78, March.
    4. Natalya Ketenci, 2017. "The Effect of the European Union Customs Union on the Balance of Trade in Turkey," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(4), pages 219-232, November.
    5. Per G. Fredriksson & Eric Neumayer, 2016. "Corruption and Climate Change Policies: Do the Bad Old Days Matter?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 63(2), pages 451-469, February.
    6. Pao-Lin Tien, 2009. "Using Long-Run Restrictions to Investigate the Sources of Exchange Rate Fluctuations," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2009-004, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
    7. Bezuneh, Mesfin & Yiheyis, Zelealem, 2009. "Has Trade Liberalization Improved Food Availability in Developing Countries? An Empirical Analysis," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51136, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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