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Open-Access Issues in the Chilean Telecommunications and Electricity Sectors

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Abstract

Este trabajo analiza la crisis eléctrica de 1998-1999. Su principal conclusión es que el diagnóstico habitual que sostiene que ocurrió porque las empresas no invirtieron y el regulador no tenía atribuciones, es equivocado. A pesar de la peor sequía del siglo y de la falla de la central Nehuenco, los cortes de energía y el déficit agregado de 450 GWh se podrían haber evitado si el agua embalsada se hubiese manejado recientemente, o bien los reguladores hubiesen usado sus atribuciones para hacer funcionar el sistema de precios, o si el ejecutivo no hubiese temido afectar su imagen decretando racionamiento apenas las condiciones lo exigieran. Argumentamos que la variabilidad hidrológica a la que está sujeta Chile central hace inevitable las reducciones de consumo en años muy secos. Las crisis ocurren porque el sistema de precios es inflexible e inadecuado para acomodarlas sin cortes de energía; ante una escasez tanto usuarios como empresas enfrentan precios muy por debajo del costo de oportunidad de la energía. Esto, además, introduce un problema de moral hazard que incentiva el uso ineficiente del agua embalsada y hace más probable que ocurra una escasez. Es equivocado pensar que las crisis se evitarían dándole más atribuciones discrecionales al regulador. Varios episodios muestran que no usó las atribuciones que tenía. Al ejecutivo le incomoda zanjar conflictos entre privados porque sus intervenciones tienen consecuencias patrimoniales que lo dejan vulnerable a las críticas de quienes se sienten perjudicados. Por ello se debe liberar al regulador de la obligación de zanjar conflictos entre privados. Esto requiere liberalizar la regulación.

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  • Carlos Diaz & Raimundo Soto, "undated". "Open-Access Issues in the Chilean Telecommunications and Electricity Sectors," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv124, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
  • Handle: RePEc:ila:ilades:inv124
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