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The age-period cohort problem: set identification and point identification

  • Martin Browning

    ()

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Nuffield College, Oxford)

  • Ian Crawford

    ()

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and University of Oxford)

  • Marike Knoef

"Only entropy comes easily" - Anton Chekhov Various methods have been used to overcome the point identification problem inherent in the linear age-period-cohort model. This paper presents a set-identification result for the model and then considers the use of the maximum-entropy principle as a vehicle for achieving point identification. We present two substantive applications (US female mortality data and UK female labor force participation) and compare the results from our approach to some of the solutions in the literature.

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File URL: http://cemmap.ifs.org.uk/wps/cwp021212.pdf
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Paper provided by Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies in its series CeMMAP working papers with number CWP02/12.

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Date of creation: Jan 2012
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Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:02/12
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