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The cost of disinflation in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy

Author

Listed:
  • Faryna, Oleksandr

    (National Bank of Ukraine and National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy)

  • Jonsson, Magnus

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Sweden)

  • Shapovalenko, Nadiia

    (National Bank of Ukraine)

Abstract

We use a standard new Keynesian model to evaluate the cost of disinflation – measured by the sacrifice ratio, the central bank’s loss function, and the welfare cost – in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy. Disinflation is either more costly or less beneficial in the small open economy, but the results vary quantitatively depending on the measure and the economic environment. Optimised simple monetary policy rules imply that the relative weight on inflation stabilisation should be lower in the small open economy if the central bank minimises the loss function, but higher if it maximises welfare.

Suggested Citation

  • Faryna, Oleksandr & Jonsson, Magnus & Shapovalenko, Nadiia, 2021. "The cost of disinflation in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy," Working Paper Series 407, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:rbnkwp:0407
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Disinflation; sacrifice ratio; central bank’s loss function; welfare cost; small open economy; new Keynesian model; optimised rules; imperfect credibility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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