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Investment Cycles and Startup Innovation

  • Ramana Nanda

    ()

    (Harvard Business School, Entrepreneurial Management Unit)

  • Matthew Rhodes-Kropf

    ()

    (Harvard Business School, Entrepreneurial Management Unit)

We find that VC-backed firms receiving their initial investment in hot markets are more likely to go bankrupt, but conditional on going public are valued higher on the day of their IPO, have more patents and have more citations to their patents. Our results suggest that VCs invest in riskier and more innovative startups in hot markets (rather than just worse firms). This is particularly true for the most experienced VCs. Furthermore, our results suggest that the flood of capital in hot markets also plays a causal role in shifting investments to more novel startups - by lowering the cost of experimentation for early stage investors and allowing them to make riskier, more novel, investments.

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Paper provided by Harvard Business School in its series Harvard Business School Working Papers with number 12-032.

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Length: 57 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2011
Date of revision: Dec 2012
Handle: RePEc:hbs:wpaper:12-032
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