IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/halshs-01513364.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

What makes a freight market index? An empirical analysis of vessel fixtures in the offshore market

Author

Listed:
  • Roar Adland

    (NHH - Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration, Department of Economics - Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)

  • Pierre Cariou

    (Kedge Business School [Talence])

  • François-Charles Wolff

    (LEMNA - Laboratoire d'économie et de management de Nantes Atlantique - IEMN-IAE Nantes - Institut d'Économie et de Management de Nantes - Institut d'Administration des Entreprises - Nantes - UN - Université de Nantes)

Abstract

We estimate a hedonic pricing regression to generate a market index from heterogeneous fixture data in the Offshore Support Vessel (OSV) market. We consider a fixed effect framework where we control for vessel characteristics and contract-specific variables. Applied to a dataset of more than 30,000 transactions from 1989 to 2015, estimates show that around 70%-80% of variation in dayrates is explained by the time fixed effects used to estimate the market index. Spot freight rates increase with engine power and transport capacity. The volatile market index is seasonal and is positively correlated to both oil prices and production volumes.

Suggested Citation

  • Roar Adland & Pierre Cariou & François-Charles Wolff, 2017. "What makes a freight market index? An empirical analysis of vessel fixtures in the offshore market," Working Papers halshs-01513364, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01513364
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01513364
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01513364/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adland, Roar & Alger, Harrison & Banyte, Justina & Jia, Haiying, 2017. "Does fuel efficiency pay? Empirical evidence from the drybulk timecharter market revisited," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-12.
    2. Ringlund, Guro Bornes & Rosendahl, Knut Einar & Skjerpen, Terje, 2008. "Does oilrig activity react to oil price changes An empirical investigation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 371-396, March.
    3. Tamvakis, Michael N. & Thanopoulou, Helen A., 2000. "Does quality pay? The case of the dry bulk market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 297-307, December.
    4. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    5. Adland, Roar & Cariou, Pierre & Wolff, Francois-Charles, 2016. "The influence of charterers and owners on bulk shipping freight rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 69-82.
    6. Köhn, Sebastian & Thanopoulou, Helen, 2011. "A gam assessment of quality premia in the dry bulk time-charter market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 709-721, September.
    7. Laurent Gobillon & François-Charles Wolff, 2016. "Evaluating the Law of one Price Using Micro Panel Data: The Case of the French Fish Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(1), pages 134-153.
    8. Rosen, Sherwin, 1974. "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(1), pages 34-55, Jan.-Feb..
    9. Bjørnar Aas & Øyvind Halskau Sr & Stein W Wallace, 2009. "The role of supply vessels in offshore logistics," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 11(3), pages 302-325, September.
    10. Kavussanos, Manolis G. & Alizadeh-M, Amir H., 2001. "Seasonality patterns in dry bulk shipping spot and time charter freight rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 443-467, December.
    11. Javier Poblacion, 2015. "The stochastic seasonal behavior of freight rate dynamics," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 17(2), pages 142-162, June.
    12. Adland, Roar & Cullinane, Kevin, 2006. "The non-linear dynamics of spot freight rates in tanker markets," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 211-224, May.
    13. Veenstra, Albert Willem & Franses, Philip Hans, 1997. "A co-integration approach to forecasting freight rates in the dry bulk shipping sector," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 447-458, November.
    14. Nikos C. Papapostolou & Nikos K. Nomikos & Panos K. Pouliasis & Ioannis Kyriakou, 2014. "Investor Sentiment for Real Assets: The Case of Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1507-1539.
    15. Adland, Roar & Jia, Haiying & Lu, Jing, 2008. "Price dynamics in the market for Liquid Petroleum Gas transport," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 818-828, May.
    16. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Talley, Wayne K., 2011. "Vessel and voyage determinants of tanker freight rates and contract times," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 665-675, September.
    17. Kaiser, Mark J., 2015. "Offshore Service Vessel activity forecast and regulatory modeling in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, 2012–2017," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 132-146.
    18. Manolis G. Kavussanos & Nikos K. Nomikos, 2000. "Futures hedging when the structure of the underlying asset changes: The case of the BIFFEX contract," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(8), pages 775-801, September.
    19. Alexandridis, G. & Sahoo, S. & Visvikis, I., 2017. "Economic information transmissions and liquidity between shipping markets: New evidence from freight derivatives," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 82-104.
    20. repec:hal:pseose:halshs-01313672 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Amir Alizadeh & Wayne Talley, 2011. "Microeconomic determinants of dry bulk shipping freight rates and contract times," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 561-579, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Adland, Roar & Cariou, Pierre & Wolff, François-Charles, 2018. "Does energy efficiency affect ship values in the second-hand market?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 347-359.
    2. Roar Adland & Pierre Cariou & François-Charles Wolff, 2018. "Comparing transaction-based and expert-generated price indices in the market for offshore support vessels," Working Papers halshs-01843720, HAL.
    3. Regli, Frederik & Nomikos, Nikos K., 2019. "The eye in the sky – Freight rate effects of tanker supply," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 402-424.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Roar Adland & Pierre Cariou & Francois-Charles Wolff, 2017. "What makes a freight market index ?," Post-Print hal-03913228, HAL.
    2. Roar Adland & Pierre Cariou & François-Charles Wolff, 2018. "Comparing transaction-based and expert-generated price indices in the market for offshore support vessels," Working Papers halshs-01843720, HAL.
    3. Adland, Roar & Cariou, Pierre & Wolff, Francois-Charles, 2016. "The influence of charterers and owners on bulk shipping freight rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 69-82.
    4. Adland, Roar & Cariou, Pierre & Wolff, François-Charles, 2018. "Does energy efficiency affect ship values in the second-hand market?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 347-359.
    5. Prochazka, Vít & Adland, Roar & Wolff, François-Charles, 2019. "Contracting decisions in the crude oil transportation market: Evidence from fixtures matched with AIS data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 37-53.
    6. Alexandridis, George & Kavussanos, Manolis G. & Kim, Chi Y. & Tsouknidis, Dimitris A. & Visvikis, Ilias D., 2018. "A survey of shipping finance research: Setting the future research agenda," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 164-212.
    7. Adland, Roar & Alizadeh, Amir H., 2018. "Explaining price differences between physical and derivative freight contracts," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 20-33.
    8. Amir Alizadeh & Wayne Talley, 2011. "Microeconomic determinants of dry bulk shipping freight rates and contract times," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 561-579, May.
    9. Adland, Roar & Alger, Harrison & Banyte, Justina & Jia, Haiying, 2017. "Does fuel efficiency pay? Empirical evidence from the drybulk timecharter market revisited," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-12.
    10. Bai, Xiwen & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee & Jakher, Astha, 2021. "Shipping sentiment and the dry bulk shipping freight market: New evidence from newspaper coverage," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    11. Roar Adland & David Hansson & Levin von der Wense, 2017. "Valuing cargo flexibility in oil transportation," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(7), pages 803-814, October.
    12. Peng, Zixuan & Shan, Wenxuan & Guan, Feng & Yu, Bin, 2016. "Stable vessel-cargo matching in dry bulk shipping market with price game mechanism," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 76-94.
    13. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Talley, Wayne K., 2011. "Vessel and voyage determinants of tanker freight rates and contract times," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 665-675, September.
    14. Yang, Zhongzhen & Jiang, Zhenfeng & Notteboom, Theo & Haralambides, Hercules, 2019. "The impact of ship scrapping subsidies on fleet renewal decisions in dry bulk shipping," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 177-189.
    15. Prochazka, Vit & Adland, Roar & Wallace, Stein W., 2019. "The value of foresight in the drybulk freight market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 232-245.
    16. Javier Población & Gregorio Serna, 2018. "A common long-term trend for bulk shipping prices," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 20(3), pages 421-432, September.
    17. Yang, Dong & Wu, Lingxiao & Wang, Shuaian, 2021. "Can we trust the AIS destination port information for bulk ships?–Implications for shipping policy and practice," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Adland, Roar & Jia, Haiying & Strandenes, Siri P., 2018. "The determinants of vessel capacity utilization: The case of Brazilian iron ore exports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 191-201.
    19. Kokosalakis, George & Merika, Anna & Triantafyllou, Anna, 2021. "Energy efficiency and emissions control: The response of the second-hand containerships sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    20. Roar Adland & Haiying Jia, 2017. "Simulating physical basis risks in the Capesize freight market," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(2), pages 196-210, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    offshore support vessel; spot freight rate; hedonic price regressions; fixture data;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01513364. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.