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Contracting decisions in the crude oil transportation market: Evidence from fixtures matched with AIS data

Author

Listed:
  • Vít Prochazka

    (NHH - Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration, Department of Economics - Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)

  • François-Charles Wolff

    (LEMNA - Laboratoire d'économie et de management de Nantes Atlantique - IEMN-IAE Nantes - Institut d'Économie et de Management de Nantes - Institut d'Administration des Entreprises - Nantes - UN - Université de Nantes)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the contracting behaviour of participants in the spot freight market for tankers by analysing the positioning of vessels at the time of fixture. For that purpose, we create a new dataset obtained by merging spatial ship positions, commercial fixtures and technical vessel specifications. Using quantile and quantile fixed effect regressions, we show how market conditions, vessel characteristics and charterers' preferences affect the fixture location. Our main result is that oil buyers secure tonnage earlier during strong tanker markets and that the geography of trade creates natural decision points that dominate in the spatial distribution of fixtures.

Suggested Citation

  • Vít Prochazka & François-Charles Wolff, 2019. "Contracting decisions in the crude oil transportation market: Evidence from fixtures matched with AIS data," Post-Print hal-03778166, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03778166
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2019.09.009
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Yiliang & Bai, Xiwen & Wang, Qi & Ma, Zhongjun, 2022. "A big data approach to cargo type prediction and its implications for oil trade estimation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    2. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," CESifo Working Paper Series 11684, CESifo.
    3. Bai, Xiwen & Hou, Yao & Yang, Dong, 2021. "Choose clean energy or green technology? Empirical evidence from global ships," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Kumar, Sourabh & Kumar Barua, Mukesh, 2022. "Modeling and investigating the interaction among risk factors of the sustainable petroleum supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Fuentes, Gabriel, 2021. "Generating bunkering statistics from AIS data: A machine learning approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    6. Yang, Dong & Wu, Lingxiao & Wang, Shuaian, 2021. "Can we trust the AIS destination port information for bulk ships?–Implications for shipping policy and practice," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Bai, Xiwen & Cheng, Liangqi & Iris, Çağatay, 2022. "Data-driven financial and operational risk management: Empirical evidence from the global tramp shipping industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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