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The Introduction Of Emerging Currencies Into A Portfolio: Towards A More Complete Diversification Model

Author

Listed:
  • Sophie Brana

    () (Larefi - Laboratoire d'analyse et de recherche en économie et finance internationales - Université Montesquieu - Bordeaux 4)

  • Stéphanie Prat

    () (Larefi - Laboratoire d'analyse et de recherche en économie et finance internationales - Université Montesquieu - Bordeaux 4)

Abstract

We draw on portfolio theory and international diversification in order to analyse strategies allowing to reduce emerging economies' exposure to exchange-rate risk. We show in particular that it may be efficient for an investor, in terms of maximising the return-to-risk ratio, to build up a portfolio of emerging-country assets denominated in local currency - unhedged against currency risk - compared with a strategy including emerging-country securities denominated in foreign currencies. This strategy would lead to a reduction in the original sin (i.e. the inability of emerging economies to borrow in local currency), and de facto to a reduction in currency mismatches in the balance sheets of emerging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Brana & Stéphanie Prat, 2009. "The Introduction Of Emerging Currencies Into A Portfolio: Towards A More Complete Diversification Model," Working Papers hal-00616581, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00616581
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00616581v2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry Eichengreen & Ricardo Hausmann & Ugo Panizza, 2007. "Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance, and the Original Sin: Why They Are Not the Same and Why It Matters," NBER Chapters,in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices and Consequences, pages 121-170 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Hwang, Soosung & Pedersen, Christian S., 2004. "Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 109-128, March.
    3. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January.
    4. Matus Medo & Chi Ho Yeung & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2008. "How to quantify the influence of correlations on investment diversification," Papers 0805.3397, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2009.
    5. Campbell, Rachel A. & Kraussl, Roman, 2007. "Revisiting the home bias puzzle: Downside equity risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1239-1260, November.
    6. Burger, John D. & Warnock, Francis E., 2007. "Foreign participation in local currency bond markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 291-304.
    7. Harlow, W. V. & Rao, Ramesh K. S., 1989. "Asset Pricing in a Generalized Mean-Lower Partial Moment Framework: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(03), pages 285-311, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International portfolio diversification; Original Sin; Emerging countries; Downside risk;

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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