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2000-2040: population active et croissance

Author

Listed:
  • Valérie Chauvin

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Mathieu Plane

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

L'évolution de la population active est un élément central pour connaître le dynamisme d'une économie. Elle permet, d'une part, de déterminer le niveau de la croissance potentielle et donc d'évaluer les tensions inflationnistes relatives aux contraintes d'offre, mesure indispensable à la conduite de la politique monétaire. D'autre part, le ratio de dépendance (inactifs/actifs) qui en découle permet de chiffrer les transferts nécessaires à l'équilibre des régimes sociaux, en particulier de celui des retraites (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Valérie Chauvin & Mathieu Plane, 2001. "2000-2040: population active et croissance," Post-Print hal-01017102, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01017102
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.079.0235
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-01017102v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Élisabeth Algava & Mathieu Plane, 2001. "Vieillissement et protection sociale. Comparaison de six pays de l'Union Européenne," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 79(4), pages 261-314.
    2. Didier Blanchet & Louis-Paul Pele, 1999. "Social Security and Retirement in France," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security and Retirement around the World, pages 101-133, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Valérie Chauvin, 2000. "Les comptables nationaux s'accordent entre eux. Modification de la comptabilité nationale en France," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 72(1), pages 157-183.
    4. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2882 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/2246 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jørgen Elmeskov & Karl Pichelmann, 1993. "Unemployment and Labour Force Participation: Trends and Cycles," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 130, OECD Publishing.
    7. Alain Jacquot, 1997. "Les flexions des taux d'activité sont-elles seulement conjoncturelles ?," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 127(1), pages 137-155.
    8. Gael Dupont & Henri Sterdyniak, 2000. "Quel avenir pour nos retraites ?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03426704, HAL.
    9. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2246 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gian Luigi Mazzi & Frédéric Reynès & Matthieu Lemoine & Paola Veroni, 2008. "Real Time Estimation of Potential Output and Output Gap for the Euro-Area : Comparing Production Function with Unobserved Components and SVAR Approaches," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-01027422, HAL.
    3. Olivier Filatriau & Frédéric Reynés, 2012. "A new estimate of discouraged and additional worker effects on labor participation by sex and age in OECD countries," Working Papers hal-03476015, HAL.
    4. Jean-Luc Gaffard, 2014. "Crise de la théorie et crise de la politique économique. Des modèles d'équilibre général stochastique aux modèles de dynamique hors de l'équilibre," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 65(1), pages 71-96.
    5. Filatriau Olivier & Frédéric Reynès, 2012. "A new estimate of discouraged and additional worker effects on labor participation by sex and age in oecd countries," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2012-09, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    6. Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2002. "Les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées. Enjeux, méthodes et résultats," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 80(1), pages 87-113.
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    8. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09j0h18ghk9 is not listed on IDEAS

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