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The International Integration of the Eastern Europe and two Middle East Stock Markets

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  • José Soares da Fonseca

    (Faculty of Economics University of Coimbra and GEMF, Portugal)

Abstract

This article studies the international integration of twelve Eastern Europe Stock Markets and two Middle East Stock Markets. It is commonly accepted that the returns in these markets have a low correlation with the other markets, which means that they are still weakly integrated in the world financial market. This assumption is the object of the empirical analysis in the present article, in which the co-integration of each of these national stock markets with the international market is estimated. Co-integration is a well adapted methodology to study the international integration of stock markets, since it puts in evidence, simultaneously, the long-term relation between the stock prices of a domestic market and those representing the international market and the short-term relation between the changes in those prices. The results obtained show that, in general, these stock markets are co-integrated with one or more international indexes.

Suggested Citation

  • José Soares da Fonseca, 2013. "The International Integration of the Eastern Europe and two Middle East Stock Markets," GEMF Working Papers 2013-01, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    • Handle: RePEc:gmf:wpaper:2013-01.
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richards, Anthony J., 1995. "Comovements in national stock market returns: Evidence of predictability, but not cointegration," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 631-654, December.
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    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Kasa, Kenneth, 1992. "Common stochastic trends in international stock markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 95-124, February.
    5. Gregory, Allan W. & Hansen, Bruce E., 1996. "Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 99-126, January.
    6. Rossella Calvi, 2010. "Assessing financial integration: a comparison between Europe and East Asia," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 423, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    7. Jos 0053oares da Fonseca, 2008. "The Co-integration of European Stock Markets after the Launch of the Euro," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 55(3), pages 309-324, September.
    8. Rangvid, Jesper, 2001. "Increasing convergence among European stock markets?: A recursive common stochastic trends analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 383-389, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial integration; stock markets; structure breaks.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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