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Credibility and Duration in Target Zones: Evidence from the EMS

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  • Simón Sosvilla-Rivero
  • Francisco Pérez-Bermejo

Abstract

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the past, present, and future of the European Monetary System (EMS). After examining its background, we review the structure and operation of the EMS, as well as the theoretical framework used to explain exchange-rate movements inside official fluctuation bands. Moreover, we offer some comments and assessment on the EMS in the light of empirical papers examining the EMS from both the credibility and currency crisis approaches, with special emphasis on the survival of the central parities. Finally, drawing on the EMS experience, we make some remarks on new EMS, linking the currencies of non-euro area Member States to the euro, both current European Union Member States and future candidates.

Suggested Citation

  • Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Francisco Pérez-Bermejo, "undated". "Credibility and Duration in Target Zones: Evidence from the EMS," Working Papers 2003-19, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaddt:2003-19
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    1. Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez & Jorge Perez-Rodriguez & Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, 2006. "An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(13), pages 847-850.
    2. Francisco Pérez-Bermejo & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, "undated". "Currency Crises and Political Factors: Drawing Lessons from the EMS Experience," Working Papers 2004-04, FEDEA.
    3. Francisco J. Ledesma-Rodríguez & Manuel Navarro-Ibáñez & Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, "undated". "Regímenes cambiarios de iure y de facto. El caso de la Peseta/Dólar, 1965-1998," Working Papers on International Economics and Finance 05-03, FEDEA.
    4. Simón Sosvilla Rivero & Oscar Bajo Rubio & Carmen Díaz Roldán, "undated". "Sobre la efectividad de la política regional comunitaria: El caso de Castilla-la Mancha," Studies on the Spanish Economy 178, FEDEA.

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