Devaluation Risk in Target Zones: Evidence from the Nordic Countries
In this paper, the authors estimate devaluation risk in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. The target exchange ra te is modeled as a censored variable, a "shadow peg" that is only observed when the equilibrium floating rate is too far from the prevailing peg. Using a two-step procedure, the authors are able to calculate time series of the probability and expected size of devaluations. Th e probability as well as the size of devaluations seem to be systematically related to a relation between the money stock, industrial production, foreign exchange reserves, and the prevailing central parity. Copyright 1993 by Royal Economic Society.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
To our knowledge, this item is not available for
download. To find whether it is available, there are three
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
|Date of creation:||1991|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: UPPSALA UNIVERSITY, DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, S-751 20 UPPSALA SWEDEN.|
Phone: + 46 18 471 25 00
Fax: + 46 18 471 14 78
Web page: http://www.nek.uu.se/
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fth:uppaal:1991g. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Thomas Krichel)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.