IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eus/wpaper/ec2013_04.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Money Supply and Monetary Policy in Russia: A Post-Keynesian Approach Revisited

Author

Listed:
  • Yulia Vymyatnina

Abstract

In our paper, using Granger causality tests on data covering 1995-2011 we find that credit is an important source of money supply endogeneity in Russia, with the two distinct sources of money supply endogeneity present: the one in the sense of accommodationist approach (through state-controlled firms) and another in the sense of structuralist approach (through private sector firms), with external credit operations being an important part of it. Inflation is found to be consistently the cause, not the result of changes in the money supply. Our findings support some recommendations for the Bank of Russia and its monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Yulia Vymyatnina, 2013. "Money Supply and Monetary Policy in Russia: A Post-Keynesian Approach Revisited," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series 2013/04, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:eus:wpaper:ec2013_04
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eusp.org/sites/default/files/archive/ec_dep/wp/Ec-04_13.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Pollin, 1991. "Two Theories of Money Supply Endogeneity: Some Empirical Evidence," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 366-396, March.
    2. Bala Shanmugam & Mahendhiran Nair & Ong Wee Li, 2003. "The endogenous money hypothesis: empirical evidence from Malaysia (1985-2000)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(4), pages 599-611.
    3. Howells, Peter & Hussein, Khaled, 1998. "The Endogeneity of Money: Evidence from the G7," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 329-340, August.
    4. Delli Gatti, Domenico & Gallegati, Mauro, 1997. "Financial Constraints, Aggregate Supply, and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 65(2), pages 101-126, March.
    5. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1992. "The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 901-921, September.
    6. Claudio E. V. Borio, 1997. "Monetary policy operating procedures in industrial countries," BIS Working Papers 40, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Benassy-Quere, Agnes & Coeure, Benoit & Jacquet, Pierre & Pisani-Ferry, Jean, 2010. "Economic Policy: Theory and Practice," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195322736.
    8. Arestis, Philip & Howells, Peter, 1999. "The Supply of Credit Money and the Demand for Deposits: A Reply," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 23(1), pages 115-119, January.
    9. Mazzoli,Marco, 1998. "Credit, Investments and the Macroeconomy," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521584111.
    10. Kohn, Meir, 1981. "A Loanable Funds Theory of Unemployment and Monetary Disequilibrium," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(5), pages 859-879, December.
    11. Giuseppe Fontana, 2000. "Post Keynesians and Circuitists on Money and Uncertainty: An Attempt at Generality," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 27-48, September.
    12. Thomas I. Palley, 1994. "Competing Views Of The Money Supply Process: Theory And Evidence," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 67-88, February.
    13. Peter Howells & Khaled Hussein, 1998. "The Endogeneity of Money: Evidence from the G7," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 329-340, August.
    14. Basil J. Moore, 1989. "A Simple Model of Bank Intermediation," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 10-28, September.
    15. Jörg Bibow, 2000. "The Loanable Funds Fallacy in Retrospect," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 32(4), pages 789-832, Winter.
    16. Acocella,Nicola, 1998. "The Foundations of Economic Policy," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521586382.
    17. Dallas S. Batten & Daniel L. Thornton, 1985. "Weighted monetary aggregates as intermediate targets," Working Papers 1985-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    18. Hyman P. Minsky, 1991. "Financial Crises: Systemic or Idiosyncratic," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_51, Levy Economics Institute.
    19. Feige, Edgar L & Pearce, Douglas K, 1979. "The Casual Causal Relationship between Money and Income: Some Caveats for Time Series Analysis," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 61(4), pages 521-533, November.
    20. Vymyatnina, Yulia, 2006. "How much control does Bank of Russia have over money supply?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 131-144, June.
    21. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
    22. Paul C. Dalziel, 1990. "Market Power, Inflation, and Incomes Policies," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 424-438, March.
    23. Hewitson, Gillian, 1995. "Post-Keynesian Monetary Theory: Some Issues," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 285-310.
    24. Bibow, Jorg, 1998. "On Keynesian Theories of Liquidity Preference," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 66(2), pages 238-273, March.
    25. Oto Norčič & Marko Lah & Andrej Sušjan, 1996. "Dual Money Endogeneity in Transition Economies," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 73-82, September.
    26. Charemza, Wojciech & Makarova, Svetlana & Prytula, Yaroslav & Raskina, Julia & Vymyatnina, Yulia, 2009. "A small forward-looking inter-country model (Belarus, Russia and Ukraine)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1172-1183, November.
    27. Scott T. Fullwiler, 2013. "An endogenous money perspective on the post-crisis monetary policy debate," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 1(2), pages 171-194, January.
    28. Michal Kalecki, 1971. "Class Struggle And The Distribution Of National Income," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 1-9, February.
    29. Marek Dabrowski & Wojciech Paczynski & Lukasz Rawdanowicz, 2002. "Inflation and Monetary Policy in Russia: Transition Experience and Future Recommendations," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0241, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    30. Wojciech W. Charemza & Derek F. Deadman, 1997. "New Directions In Econometric Practice, Second Edition," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1139.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vadim O. Grishchenko & Alexander Mihailov & Vasily N. Tkachev, 2021. "Money Creation in Russia: Does the Money Multiplier Exist?," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2021-15, Department of Economics, University of Reading.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yulia Vymyatnina, 2013. "Money Supply and Monetary Policy in Russia: A Post-Keynesian Approach Revisited," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-04/13, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    2. Vymyatnina, Yulia, 2006. "How much control does Bank of Russia have over money supply?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 131-144, June.
    3. Yulia Vymyatnina & Anna Ignatenko, 2011. "Inflation and Bank of Russia's Policy: Is There a Link?," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-03/11, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics, revised 04 Mar 2011.
    4. Badarudin, Z.E. & Ariff, M. & Khalid, A.M., 2013. "Post-Keynesian money endogeneity evidence in G-7 economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 146-162.
    5. Trunin, P. & Vashchelyuk, N., 2015. "The Analysis of Money Supply Endogeneity in Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 25(1), pages 103-131.
    6. Kevin S. Nell, 2000. "The Endogenous/Exogenous Nature of South Africa’s Money Supply Under Direct and Indirect Monetary Control Measures," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 313-329, December.
    7. Giuseppe Fontana & Ezio Venturino, 2003. "Endogenous Money: An Analytical Approach," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(4), pages 398-416, September.
    8. Yannis Panagopoulos & Aristotelis Spiliotis, 2006. "Testing Money Supply Endogeneity: The Case of Greece (1975-1998)," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 85-102.
    9. Oguzhan Cepni & Ibrahim Ethem Guney, 2017. "Endogeneity of Money Supply: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 6(1), pages 01-10, January.
    10. Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Sinelnikova-Muryleva Elena & Petrova Diana & Chentsov Alexander, 2018. "Building of monetary and currency markets models," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 175P, pages 1-96.
    11. Giuseppe Fontana, 2004. "Rethinking Endogenous Money: A Constructive Interpretation Of The Debate Between Horizontalists And Structuralists," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 367-385, November.
    12. Peter Howells, 2005. "The Endogeneity of Money: Empirical Evidence," Working Papers 0513, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    13. Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur & Togay, Selahattin, 2012. "A direct test of the endogeneity of money: Implications for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 577-585.
    14. Rahimi , Azadeh, 2019. "The Endogenous or Exogenous Nature of Money Supply: Case of Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 14(1), pages 27-40, January.
    15. Wasanthi Thenuwara & Bryan Morgan, 2017. "Monetary targeting in Sri Lanka: how much control does the central bank have over the money supply?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 276-296, April.
    16. Hein, Eckhard, 2010. "The rate of interest as a macroeconomic distribution parameter: Horizontalism and Post-Keynesian models of distribution of growth," MPRA Paper 23372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Malcolm Sawyer, 1999. "The Kaleckian Analysis and the New Millennium," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 303-319.
    18. Giancarlo Bertocco, 2005. "The Role of credit in a Keynesian monetary economy," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 489-511.
    19. Kevin S. Nell, 1999. "The Relation Between Money, Income and Prices in South Africa," Studies in Economics 9909, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    20. Malcolm Sawyer, 1998. "The Kaleckian Analysis and the New Mellinium," Macroeconomics 9805001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 1998.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    post-Keynesian economics; endogenous money supply; inflation; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eus:wpaper:ec2013_04. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mikhail Pakhnin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feeusru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.