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The Endogenous or Exogenous Nature of Money Supply: Case of Iran

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  • Rahimi , Azadeh

    (Monetary Expert at the Central Bank of Iran)

Abstract

This paper investigates the endogenous money supply hypothesis in Iran. To this end, we attempt to find causality directions between bank credits and money aggregates. Utilizing Diks and Panchenko’s (2006) nonparametric Granger causality test for the time series data over the period 2006:04-2018:12 confirms the existence of a significant causality running from bank credits to money aggregates. These results indicate that money supply in Iran is demand-determined, which is in line with Post-Keynesians’ money supply endogenous theory. In this case, following the interest rate targeting rather than the monetary aggregate targeting approach and therefore, applying open market operation is necessary.

Suggested Citation

  • Rahimi , Azadeh, 2019. "The Endogenous or Exogenous Nature of Money Supply: Case of Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 14(1), pages 27-40, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mbr:jmonec:v:14:y:2019:i:1:p:27-40
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Endogenous Money Supply; Post Keynesian Hypothesis; Nonparametric Econometrics; Granger Causality Test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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