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Migration Shocks and Housing: Evidence from the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Jordan

Author

Listed:
  • Ibrahim Al Hawarin

    (Al-Hussein Bin Talal University)

  • Ragui Assaad
  • Ahmed Elsayed

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of migration shocks on housing conditions and rental prices for locals. The identification comes from the regional variation in the large influx of Syrian refugees to Jordan in the wake of the Syrian conflict starting in 2011. We employ a difference in difference approach to evaluate the change in housing conditions and rental prices in areas with relatively higher flows of Syrian refugees compared to areas with relatively lower flows of Syrian refugees. The paper shows that the share of Syrian refugees seems to have a negative, yet small, impact on housing conditions of locals. Heterogeneity analyses shows that while poorer household are affected more negatively, richer household experience an improvement in their housing outcomes in response to the share of refugees. The paper further shows that housing rents significantly increased in the regions closer to Syrian borders. However, housing quality was more responsive to the crisis in regions that are relatively more distant

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Al Hawarin & Ragui Assaad & Ahmed Elsayed, 2018. "Migration Shocks and Housing: Evidence from the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Jordan," Working Papers 1213, Economic Research Forum, revised 28 Jun 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:1213
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Binnur Balkan & Semih Tumen, 2016. "Immigration and prices: quasi-experimental evidence from Syrian refugees in Turkey," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 29(3), pages 657-686, July.
    2. Erbas, S. Nuri & Nothaft, Frank E., 2005. "Mortgage markets in Middle East and North African countries: Market development, poverty reduction, and growth," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 212-241, September.
    3. Samya Beidas-Strom & Weicheng Lian & Ashwaq Maseeh, 2009. "The Housing Cycle in Emerging Middle Eastern Economies and its Macroeconomic Policy Implications," IMF Working Papers 2009/288, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Semih Tumen, 2016. "The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Turkey," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 456-460, May.
    5. Ragui Assaad & Caroline Krafft & Dominique J. Rolando, 2017. "The Role of Housing Markets in the Timing of Marriage in Egypt, Jordan, and Tunisia," Working Papers 1081, Economic Research Forum, revised 04 Oct 2017.
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    Cited by:

    1. Verme, Paolo & Schuettler, Kirsten, 2021. "The impact of forced displacement on host communities: A review of the empirical literature in economics," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    2. Caroline Krafft & Susan Razzaz & Caitlyn Keo & Ragui Assaad, 2019. "The Number and Characteristics of Syrians in Jordan: A Multi-Source Analysis," Working Papers 1288, Economic Research Forum, revised 2019.
    3. Aksoy, Cevat Giray & Tumen, Semih, 2021. "Local Governance Quality and the Environmental Cost of Forced Migration," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Anda David & Mohamed Ali Marouani & Charbel Nahas & Björn Nilsson, 2020. "The economics of the Syrian refugee crisis in neighbouring countries: The case of Lebanon," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(1), pages 89-109, January.
    5. Assaad, Ragui & Ginn, Thomas & Saleh, Mohamed, 2023. "Refugees and the education of host populations: Evidence from the Syrian inflow to Jordan," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    6. Caroline Krafft & Maia Sieverding, 2018. "Jordan’s fertility stall and resumed decline: an investigation of demographic factors," Working Papers 1193, Economic Research Forum, revised 10 May 2018.
    7. Ashenafi Belayneh Ayenew, 2020. "Welfare Impact of Hosting Refugees in Ethiopia," HiCN Working Papers 341, Households in Conflict Network.
    8. Kathleen Kürschner & Michael Kvasnicka, 2018. "The 2015 European Refugee Crisis and Residential Housing Rents in Germany," ERES eres2018_156, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    9. Antonella Bandiera & Lelys Dinarte Diaz & Sandra V. Rozo & Carlos Schmidt-Padilla & María Micaela Sviatschi & Hernan Winkler, 2023. "The Unintended Consequences of Deportations: Evidence from Firm Behavior in El Salvador," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 71(4), pages 1331-1358.
    10. Evan Borkum & Paolo Abarcar & Laura Meyer & Matthew Spitzer, "undated". "Jordan Refugee Livelihoods Development Impact Bond Evaluation Framework," Mathematica Policy Research Reports 602dafe521fe4467854dcd45e, Mathematica Policy Research.
    11. Ayenew, Ashenafi Belayneh, 2021. "Welfare Impact of Hosting Refugees in Ethiopia," EconStor Preprints 228519, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    12. Krafft Caroline & Assaad Ragui, 2021. "Introducing the Jordan Labor Market Panel Survey 2016," IZA Journal of Development and Migration, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 12(1), pages 1-42, January.
    13. Rozo, Sandra V. & Sviatschi, Micaela, 2021. "Is a refugee crisis a housing crisis? Only if housing supply is unresponsive," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    14. Ayenew,Ashenafi Belayneh, 2021. "Welfare Impact of Hosting Refugees in Ethiopia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9613, The World Bank.
    15. Ayfer Ozyilmaz & Yuksel Bayraktar & Esme Isik & Metin Toprak & Mehmet Firat Olgun & Serdar Aydin & Tuncay Guloglu, 2022. "The Impact of Refugees on Income Inequality in Developing Countries by Using Quantile Regression, ANN, Fixed and Random Effect," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-16, July.
    16. Sandra Rozo & Micaela Sviastchi, 2018. "Are Refugees a Burden? Impacts of Refugee Inflows on Hosts Consumption Expenditures," Working Papers 2018-3, Princeton University. Economics Department..

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