An Empirical Model of the Brazilian Country Risk - An Extension of the Beta Country Risk Model
This paper develops a statistical model to study the brazilian country risk using a country beta model in spirit of Harvey and Zhou (1993), Erb et. al. (1996a, 1996b) and Gangemi et. al. (2000). Specifically, we analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables using a time-varying parameter approach. An extension of the original model is applied in order to verify the parametersâ€™ stability in time. We find that monetary policy have a significant and stable impact on Brazilâ€™s country risk and international reserves have a significant impact only in fixed exchange rate period
|Date of creation:||11 Aug 2004|
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277, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
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