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Trade Credit and International Return Comovement

Author

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  • Albuquerque, Rui
  • Ramadorai, Tarun
  • Watugala, Sumudu

Abstract

We examine trade credit links between firms as a channel of international return comovement. We model firms in different countries connected by trade credit links in segmented stock markets with asymmetrically informed investors. The model predicts that the cross-serial correlation of country stock returns increases as trade credit increases. Using data from 42 countries from 1993 to 2009, we find evidence consistent with the model. Stock returns of high trade credit firms in exporting countries are predicted by the returns of the countries that consume this output. A model-implied cross-country long-short portfolio strategy yields 12-15 percent annualized, after risk adjustment.

Suggested Citation

  • Albuquerque, Rui & Ramadorai, Tarun & Watugala, Sumudu, 2011. "Trade Credit and International Return Comovement," CEPR Discussion Papers 8222, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8222
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Beetsma, Roel & Giuliodori, Massimo & de Jong, Frank & Widijanto, Daniel, 2013. "Spread the news: The impact of news on the European sovereign bond markets during the crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 83-101.
    2. Apergis, Nicholas & Lau, Marco Chi Keung & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2016. "Media sentiment and CDS spread spillovers: Evidence from the GIIPS countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 50-59.
    3. Beetsma, Roel & de Jong, Frank & Giuliodori, Massimo & Widijanto, Daniel, 2012. "Spread the News: How the Crisis Affected the Impact of News on the European Sovereign Bond Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 9043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    asymmetric information; international stock return comovement; rebalancing trades; trade credit;

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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