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Trade Openness and Investment Instability

Author

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  • Razin, Assaf
  • Sadka, Efraim
  • Coury, Tarek

Abstract

In the presence of lumpy adjustment costs of investment, globalization may have non-conventional effects on the level of investment and its cyclical behaviour. Free trade may lead to a discrete ?jump? in the level of investment, as it triggers discrete terms-of-trade changes which either appreciate or depreciate the setup cost of investment. As a result, the economy may alternate between ?optimistic? and ?pessimistic? expectations and self-validating boom and bust investment cycles. There could be substantial gains from globalization in the investment-boom equilibrium and meager, or negative, gains in the investment-bust equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim & Coury, Tarek, 2002. "Trade Openness and Investment Instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 3259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3259
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    Cited by:

    1. Emma Aisbett, 2007. "Why are the Critics So Convinced that Globalization is Bad for the Poor?," NBER Chapters, in: Globalization and Poverty, pages 33-86, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Maria V. Sokolova, 2016. "Exchange Rates, International Trade and Growth: Re-Evaluation of Undervaluation," IHEID Working Papers 05-2016, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    3. Akinleye Simeon Oludiran & Laleye Nicaise Abimbola, 2018. "Major Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in the West African Economic and Monetary Region," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(1), pages 121-162, Winter.
    4. Hira Mujahid & Shaista Alam, 2014. "The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Demand and Price Volatility in Pakistan: Co Integration Approach for Compensation Hypothesis," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(6), pages 744-754, June.
    5. Vedia Jerez, Daniel Hernan, 2007. "De riesgo y pánico: una analítica de volatilidad y crecimiento 1960-2006 [About risk and panic, an overview of volatility and growth 1960-2006]," MPRA Paper 21577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Yamin Ahmad & Pietro Cova & Rodrigo Harrison, 2004. "Foreign Direct Investment versus Portfolio Investment : A Global Games Approach," Working Papers 05-03, UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lumpy adjustment cost; Multiple equilibrium; Boom-bust investment cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General

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