IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cop/wpaper/g-162.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Analysing a hypothetical Pierce's disease outbreak in South Australia using a dynamic CGE approach

Author

Listed:
  • Glyn Wittwer
  • Simon McKirdy
  • Ryan Wilson

Abstract

A dynamic computable general equilibrium model provides a tool for analysing the regional economic consequences of a hypothetical plant pest incursion. The model is very detailed at the industry and regional level. It includes a theory of regional labour market adjustment. In our example, a hypothetical Pierce's disease incursion, direct regional economic losses are magnified by consequent depressed investment in downstream wine processing sectors. Following elimination of the disease, it takes a number of years for the region to recover fully.

Suggested Citation

  • Glyn Wittwer & Simon McKirdy & Ryan Wilson, 2006. "Analysing a hypothetical Pierce's disease outbreak in South Australia using a dynamic CGE approach," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-162, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-162
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.copsmodels.com/ftp/workpapr/g-162.pdf
    File Function: Initial version, 2006-09
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.copsmodels.com/elecpapr/g-162.htm
    File Function: Local abstract: may link to additional material.
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Glyn Wittwer & Simon McKirdy & Ryan Wilson, 2005. "Regional economic impacts of a plant disease incursion using a general equilibrium approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 49(1), pages 75-89, March.
    2. J. D. Mumford, 2002. "Economic issues related to quarantine in international trade," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 29(3), pages 329-348, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alston, Julian M. & Fuller, Kate B. & Kaplan, Jonathan D. & Tumber, Kabir P., 2015. "Assessing the returns to R&D on perennial crops: the costs and benefits of Pierce’s disease research in the California winegrape industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(1), January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Heikkila, Jaakko & Peltola, Jukka, 2005. "Agricultural Production with Change and Uncertainty: A Temporal Case Study Simulation of Colorado Potato Beetle," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24679, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Cook, David & Carrasco, Luis Roman & Paini, Dean & Fraser, Rob, 2011. "Estimating the social welfare effects of New Zealand apple imports," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 55(4), pages 1-22.
    3. Inaba, Masaru & Nutahara, Kengo, 2009. "The role of investment wedges in the Carlstrom-Fuerst economy and business cycle accounting," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 105(3), pages 200-203, December.
    4. Borrell, Brent & Jiang, Tingsong & Pearce, David & Gould, Ian, 2014. "Payoffs from research and development along the Australian food value chain: a general equilibrium analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(3), July.
    5. Tu, Anh Thuy & Beghin, John C., 2005. "Tariff Escalation and Invasive Species Risk," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19518, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. George Verikios & Xiao-guang Zhang, 2016. "Structural change and income distribution: the case of Australian telecommunications," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 549-570, October.
    7. Verikios, George & Zhang, Xiao-guang, 2013. "Structural change in the Australian electricity industry during the 1990s and the effect on household income distribution: A macro–micro approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 564-575.
    8. Alan MacLeod & Glyn D. Jones & Helen M. Anderson & Rick A. Mumford, 2016. "Plant health and food security, linking science, economics, policy and industry," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 8(1), pages 17-25, February.
    9. George Verikios, 2018. "Capital Account Liberalisation by China and the Effects on Global FDI and Trade," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 245-269, July.
    10. Tom Kompas & Tuong Nhu Che & Pham Van Ha, 2006. "An Optimal Surveillance Measure Against Foot-and-Mouth Disease in the United States," International and Development Economics Working Papers idec06-11, International and Development Economics.
    11. Daeyoung Kwon & Soyoon Kim & Yongjoon Kim & Minsu Son & Kwansoo Kim & Donghwan An & Brian H. S. Kim, 2015. "An Empirical Assessment of the Economic Damage Caused by Apple Marssonina Blotch and Pear Scab Outbreaks in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Tu, Anh Thuy & Beghin, John & Gozlan, Estelle, 2008. "Tariff escalation and invasive species damages," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(4), pages 619-629, November.
    13. Carrasco, L. Roman & Cook, David & Baker, Richard & MacLeod, Alan & Knight, Jon D. & Mumford, John D., 2012. "Towards the integration of spread and economic impacts of biological invasions in a landscape of learning and imitating agents," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 95-103.
    14. Paul Mwebaze & Jim Monaghan & Nicola Spence & Alan MacLeod & Martin Hare & Brian Revell, 2010. "Modelling the Risks Associated with the Increased Importation of Fresh Produce from Emerging Supply Sources Outside the EU to the UK," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 97-121, February.
    15. JINJI Naoto, 2009. "An Economic Theory of the SPS Agreement," Discussion papers 09033, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    16. Verikios, George & Zhang, Xiao-guang, 2015. "Reform of Australian urban transport: A CGE-microsimulation analysis of the effects on income distribution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 7-17.
    17. Olson, Lars J., 2006. "The Economics of Terrestrial Invasive Species: A Review of the Literature," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 178-194, April.
    18. Verikios, George & Patron, Jodie & Gharibnavaz, Reza, 2017. "Decomposing the Marginal Excess Burden of Australia’s Goods and Services Tax," MPRA Paper 77850, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. David Adamson & David Cook, 2007. "Re-examining economic options for import risk assessments," Murray-Darling Program Working Papers WP3M07, Risk and Sustainable Management Group, University of Queensland.
    20. Glyn Wittwer & David T. Vere & Randall E. Jones & Garry R. Griffith, 2005. "Dynamic general equilibrium analysis of improved weed management in Australia's winter cropping systems," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 49(4), pages 363-377, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    plant disease; CGE modeling;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-162. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mark Horridge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cpmonau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.