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El efecto causal de la asistencia a la universidad sobre la trayectoria educativa y el mercado laboral: Evidencia empírica para Colombia

Author

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  • Felipe Barrera-Osorio
  • Hernando Bayona Rodríguez

Abstract

Este trabajo utiliza los datos del proceso de admisión de una universidad privada altamente selectiva en Colombia para analizar el impacto de la asistencia a la universidad sobre los resultados de la trayectoria educativa y el mercado laboral. El proceso de selección de la universidad permite el uso de un diseno de regresión discontinua. Se estiman tanto los efectos de ser admitido en la universidad altamente selectiva (intent-to-treatment, ITT) como el haberse matriculado (treatment-on-the-treated, TOT). Los resultados muestran efectos positivos de ser admitido sobre la probabilidad de matricularse (13.8%), repetir créditos académicos (1,3%), y la probabilidad de graduación (7%). A pesar de no encontrar efectos estadísticamente significativos sobre el examen estandarizado de salida de la universidad, se encuentran efectos positivos sobre la probabilidad de empleo y los salarios de 6,9% y 3,9% respectivamente. Aunque los efectos estimados usando TOT tiene una magnitud mucho mayor que los encontrados con ITT, TOT es consistente con ITT en cuanto a significancia y signo. Los efectos encontrados son diferenciales a través de programas académicos.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipe Barrera-Osorio & Hernando Bayona Rodríguez, 2015. "El efecto causal de la asistencia a la universidad sobre la trayectoria educativa y el mercado laboral: Evidencia empírica para Colombia," Documentos CEDE 13549, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:013549
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    retornos de la universidad; educación; regresión discontinua; mercado laboral; ITT; TOT.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials

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