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Growth Promotion Policies When Taxes Cannot Be Raised

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  • Ryo HORII
  • Katsunori Minami

Abstract

This paper examines the growth effects of R&D subsidies and public-funded basic research in an R&D-based endogenous growth model under circumstances where the government cannot raise taxes. We show that when individuals have enough life-cycle saving motives and R&D productivity is sufficiently high, g > r holds in equilibrium and the government can finance the required expenses while perpetually rolling over the debt. Whenever possible, debt-financed R&D subsidies always enhance short-run growth. However, long-term growth is promoted only when the initial g−r gap is wide enough. Even when the long-term effect is negative, the economy may benefit from the increased GDP during a long transition to the new BGP. We confirmed that the social return to R&D is always higher than the growth rate even though g > r. In an extended model, we examine the effect of enhancing public-funded basic research and find that it is particularly effective for low-growth economies. This paper examines the growth effects of R&D subsidies and public-funded basic research in an R&D-based endogenous growth model under circumstances where the government cannot raise taxes. We show that when individuals have enough life-cycle saving motives and R&D productivity is sufficiently high, g > r holds in equilibrium and the government can finance the required expenses while perpetually rolling over the debt. Whenever possible, debt-financed R&D subsidies always enhance short-run growth. However, long-term growth is promoted only when the initial g−r gap is wide enough. Even when the long-term effect is negative, the economy may benefit from the increased GDP during a long transition to the new BGP. We confirmed that the social return to R&D is always higher than the growth rate even though g > r. In an extended model, we examine the effect of enhancing public-funded basic research and find that it is particularly effective for low-growth economies. This paper examines the growth effects of R&D subsidies and public-funded basic research in an R&D-based endogenous growth model under circumstances where the government cannot raise taxes. We show that when individuals have enough life-cycle saving motives and R&D productivity is sufficiently high, g > r holds in equilibrium and the government can finance the required expenses while perpetually rolling over the debt. Whenever possible, debt-financed R&D subsidies always enhance short-run growth. However, long-term growth is promoted only when the initial g−r gap is wide enough. Even when the long-term effect is negative, the economy may benefit from the increased GDP during a long transition to the new BGP. We confirmed that the social return to R&D is always higher than the growth rate even though g > r. In an extended model, we examine the effect of enhancing public-funded basic research and find that it is particularly effective for low-growth economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryo HORII & Katsunori Minami, 2025. "Growth Promotion Policies When Taxes Cannot Be Raised," CIGS Working Paper Series 25-003E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:cnn:wpaper:25-003e
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen & Heidi Williams, 2019. "A Toolkit of Policies to Promote Innovation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(3), pages 163-184, Summer.
    2. Ricardo Reis, 2021. "The constraint on public dept when r," BIS Working Papers 939, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Tirole, Jean, 1985. "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1499-1528, November.
    4. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen & Heidi Williams, 2019. "A toolkit of policies to promote innovation," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
    5. Zheng Song & Kjetil Storesletten & Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2012. "Rotten Parents and Disciplined Children: A Politico‐Economic Theory of Public Expenditure and Debt," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(6), pages 2785-2803, November.
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