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Growth Promotion Policies When Taxes Cannot Be Raised

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  • Katsunori Minami
  • Ryo Horii

Abstract

This paper examines the growth effects of R&D subsidies and public-funded basic research in an R&D-based endogenous growth model under circumstances where the government cannot raise taxes. We show that if individuals have enough life-cycle saving motives and R&D productivity is sufficiently high, g>r holds in equilibrium, and the government can finance the required expenses while perpetually rolling over the debt. Whenever possible, debt-financed R&D subsidies always enhance short-run growth. However, long-term growth is promoted only when the initial g-r gap is wide enough. Even when the long-term effect is negative, the economy may benefit from the increased GDP during a long transition to the new BGP. We confirmed that the social return to R&D is always higher than the growth rate despite g>r. In an extended model, we examine the effect of enhancing public-funded basic research and find that it is particularly effective for low-growth economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Katsunori Minami & Ryo Horii, 2024. "Growth Promotion Policies When Taxes Cannot Be Raised," ISER Discussion Paper 1258r, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, revised Jan 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:dpr:wpaper:1258r
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen & Heidi Williams, 2019. "A toolkit of policies to promote innovation," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
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    3. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen & Heidi Williams, 2019. "A toolkit of policies to promote innovation," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
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    5. Ricardo Reis, 2021. "The constraint on public dept when r," BIS Working Papers 939, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Zheng Song & Kjetil Storesletten & Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2012. "Rotten Parents and Disciplined Children: A Politico‐Economic Theory of Public Expenditure and Debt," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(6), pages 2785-2803, November.
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