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Credit, Sectoral Misallocation and TFP: The Case of Mexico 2003-2010

  • Felipe Meza

    ()

    (Centro de Investigacion Economica (CIE), Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM))

  • Sangeeta Pratap

    ()

    (Hunter College & Graduate Center City University of New York)

  • Carlos Urrutia

    ()

    (Centro de Investigacion Economica (CIE), Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM))

We study the relation between credit conditions, misallocation of resources, and total factor productivity (TFP) using sectoral data from Mexican manufacturing industries between 2003 and 2010. Our analysis uses a theory-based framework to account for TFP changes in the Mexican manufacturing sector due to changes in distortions in the use of capital, labor and intermediates arising from nancial frictions. We nd empirically that these distortions account for a large fraction of aggregate TFP changes in the period. We also show that changes in distortions in the data are statistically related to changes in the availability and the cost of credit. Taken together, the results suggest a connection between credit conditions and productivity at the sectoral level, channeled through the choice of the inputs mix by fi rms. Moreover, our analysis suggests that the reallocation of credit from distorted sectors to undistorted sectors is as important as the overall credit availability to explain TFP growth, especially during the recovery after the crisis.

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Paper provided by Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM in its series Working Papers with number 1402.

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Date of creation: 2014
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Handle: RePEc:cie:wpaper:1402
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  1. V. V. Chari & Patrick Kehoe & Ellen McGrattan, 2004. "Business Cycle Accounting," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000560, UCLA Department of Economics.
  2. Chang-Tai Hsieh & Peter J. Klenow, 2007. "Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India," Discussion Papers 07-006, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
  3. Timothy J. Kehoe & Felipe Meza, 2011. "Catch-up growth followed by stagnation: Mexico, 1950–2010," Working Papers 693, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  4. Francisco J. Buera & Benjamin Moll, 2012. "Aggregate Implications of a Credit Crunch," NBER Working Papers 17775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Robert Dekle & Guillaume Vandenbroucke, 2010. "Whither Chinese Growth? A Sectoral Growth Accounting Approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 487-498, 08.
  6. Albert Bollard & Peter Klenow & Gunjam Sharma, 2013. "India's Mysterious Manufacturing Miracle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), pages 59-85, January.
  7. Guillermo A. Calvo & Alejandro Izquierdo & Ernesto Talvi, 2006. "Sudden Stops and Phoenix Miracles in Emerging Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(2), pages 405-410, May.
  8. Scott L. Baier & Gerald P. Dwyer & Robert Tamura, 2006. "How Important are Capital and Total Factor Productivity for Economic Growth?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(1), pages 23-49, January.
  9. Benjamin David & Meza Felipe, 2009. "Total Factor Productivity and Labor Reallocation: The Case of the Korean 1997 Crisis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-41, July.
  10. Timothy Kehoe & Felipe Meza, 2011. "Catch-up Growth Followed by Stagnation: Mexico 1950–2008," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 48(2), pages 227–268.
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