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Measuring the Ins and Outs of Remote Work: New Evidence from the Gallup Workplace Panel

Author

Listed:
  • Christos Makridis
  • Christos A. Makridis

Abstract

Remote and hybrid work remain central features of the post-pandemic labor market, yet macro-labor evidence on their dynamics is limited by a lack of longitudinal data on individual work arrangements. This paper uses the Gallup Workplace Panel, a nationally representative worker panel over 2019 to 2025, to measure worker-level flows across on-site, hybrid, and fully remote work. I estimate multi-state transition matrices and document three main patterns: substantial persistence in both on-site and fully remote arrangements; comparatively higher churn in hybrid status, which often serves as a transitional state; and meaningful heterogeneity in transitions by industry and worker characteristics. I further decompose work-arrangement changes into within-employer adjustments versus transitions that coincide with job changes, showing that both margins contribute to aggregate dynamics. These transition objects provide new calibration targets for amenity-based search-and-matching models in which remote work is a valued job attribute, helping to discipline the valuation of flexibility, the magnitude of switching costs, and whether remote work should be modeled primarily as a job type or as an adjustable within-match contract margin.

Suggested Citation

  • Christos Makridis & Christos A. Makridis, 2026. "Measuring the Ins and Outs of Remote Work: New Evidence from the Gallup Workplace Panel," CESifo Working Paper Series 12411, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12411
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    JEL classification:

    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J81 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - Working Conditions
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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