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Unemployment Duration And Geographic Mobility: Do Movers Fare Better Than Stayers?

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  • Christopher Goetz

Abstract

This study uses a sample of unemployed workers constructed from the American Community Survey and the LEHD database, to compare the unemployment durations of those who find subsequent employment by relocating to a metropolitan area outside of their originally observed residence, versus those who find employment in their original location. Results from a hazard analysis confirm the importance of many of the determinants of migration posited in the literature, such as age, education, and local labor market conditions. While simple averages and OLS estimates indicate that migrating for a new job reduces the probability of re-employment within a given time frame and lengthens the spell of unemployment in the aggregate, after controlling for selection into migration using an IV approach based on local house price changes, the results suggest that out-migrating for employment actually has a large and significant beneficial effect of shortening the time to re-employment. This implies that those who migrate for jobs in the data may be particularly disadvantaged in their ability to find employment and thus have a strong short-term incentive to relocate.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Goetz, 2014. "Unemployment Duration And Geographic Mobility: Do Movers Fare Better Than Stayers?," Working Papers 14-41, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    • Handle: RePEc:cen:wpaper:14-41
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    File URL: https://www2.census.gov/ces/wp/2014/CES-WP-14-41.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Fackler & Lisa Rippe, 2017. "Losing Work, Moving Away? Regional Mobility After Job Loss," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 31(4), pages 457-479, December.
    2. Christopher F. Goetz, 2017. "The Potential for Using Combined Survey and Administrative Data Sources to Study Internal Labor Migration," Working Papers 17-55, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    3. Fackler, Daniel & Rippe, Lisa, 2016. "Losing work, moving away? Regional mobility after job loss," IWH Discussion Papers 26/2016, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    4. Kangoh Lee, 2018. "Fixed‐Rate Mortgages, Labor Markets, and Efficiency," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(5), pages 1033-1072, August.
    5. Daniel Fackler & Lisa Rippe, 2016. "Losing Work, Moving away? Regional Mobility after Job Loss," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 861, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).

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