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Bank Credit Risk

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  • E P Davis

Abstract

The paper evaluates the contribution industrial-sector data on loan losses could make to diversifying and pricing bank risk. It derives the mean, variance and cyclical sensitivity of sectoral provisions and write offs, then assesses implications for loan pricing; standards of capital adequacy; risk borne by sectorally-concentrated banks; and bank risk over time. Complementary econometric estimates for aggregate losses highlight the role of corporate gearing and rapid balance sheet growth. It is suggested all banks should collect and employ sectoral loss data, and the analysis could be borne in mind for any future renegotiation of the Basle Accord.

Suggested Citation

  • E P Davis, 1993. "Bank Credit Risk," Bank of England working papers 8, Bank of England.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:8
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    File URL: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/archive/Documents/historicpubs/workingpapers/1993/wp08.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guttentag, Jack & Herring, Richard, 1984. "Credit Rationing and Financial Disorder," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(5), pages 1359-1382, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. John Whitley & Richard Windram, 2003. "A quantitative framework for commercial property and its relationship to the analysis of the financial stability of the corporate sector," Bank of England working papers 207, Bank of England.
    2. Santiago Fernández de Lis & Jorge Martínez Pagés & Jesús Saurina, 2001. "Credit growth, problem loans and credit risk provisioning in Spain," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Marrying the macro- and micro-prudential dimensions of financial stability, volume 1, pages 331-353, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Jesús Saurina-Salas, 1998. "Determinantes de la morosidad de las cajas de ahorro españolas," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 22(3), pages 393-426, September.
    4. Davis, E. Philip & Zhu, Haibin, 2011. "Bank lending and commercial property cycles: Some cross-country evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 1-21, February.
    5. Darren Pain, 2003. "The provisioning experience of the major UK banks: a small panel investigation," Bank of England working papers 177, Bank of England.
    6. Davis, E. Philip & Zhu, Haibin, 2009. "Commercial property prices and bank performance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 1341-1359, November.
    7. Vicente Salas & Jesús Saurina, 2002. "Credit Risk in Two Institutional Regimes: Spanish Commercial and Savings Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 22(3), pages 203-224, December.
    8. Alireza Dehesh & Cedric Pugh, 2000. "Property Cycles in a Global Economy," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(13), pages 2581-2602, December.
    9. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Pellegrini, Laura & Romelli, Davide, 2012. "Stabilità e efficienza delle Banche Popolari europee: L’evidenza empirica in Italia e Germania nel periodo 2006-2009 [Stability and efficiency of European Popular Banks: Empirical evidence in Italy," MPRA Paper 104658, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.

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