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Singular Control in a Cash Management Model with Ambiguity

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  • Archankul, Arnon

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Ferrari, Giorgio

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Hellmann, Tobias

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Thijssen, Jacco J.J.

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

We consider a singular control model of cash reserve management, driven by a diffusion under ambiguity. The manager is assumed to have maxmin preferences over a set of priors characterized by $\kappa$-ignorance. A verification theorem is established to determine the firm’s cost function and the optimal cash policy; the latter taking the form of a control barrier policy. In a model driven by arithmetic Brownian motion, we use Dynkin games to show that an increase in ambiguity leads to higher expected costs under the worst-case prior and a narrower inaction region. The latter effect can be used to provide an ambiguity-driven explanation for observed cash management behavior. Our findings can be applied to broader applications of singular control in managing inventories under ambiguity.

Suggested Citation

  • Archankul, Arnon & Ferrari, Giorgio & Hellmann, Tobias & Thijssen, Jacco J.J., 2025. "Singular Control in a Cash Management Model with Ambiguity," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 731, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
  • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:731
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    File URL: https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/3006154/3006155
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