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Un modelo de simulación del Régimen Pensional de Ahorro Individual con Solidaridad en Colombia

  • Mauricio Arias


  • Juan Carlos Mendoza


Con la reforma de 1993, en Colombia se dio vía libre a un sistema general de pensiones de carácter mixto, compuesto por el Régimen Solidario de Prima Media con Prestación Definida y el Régimen de Ahorro Individual con Solidaridad. El primero representa el régimen tradicional de carácter público y de beneficio definido, mientras que el segundo corresponde al sistema privado de capitalización individual. Este documento presenta un modelo de simulación que permite proyectar la dinámica del Régimen de Ahorro Individual con Solidaridad. Con este modelo se construye un marco teórico de referencia que determina de forma detallada, el comportamiento de cada una de las variables que intervienen en el funcionamiento de este régimen. El modelo es lo suficientemente simple para que sea fácilmente computable, por lo cual se realiza una aplicación numérica que incorpora la información disponible para Colombia. De esta forma, se proyecta la dinámica del régimen durante las próximas cuatro décadas y se evalúa su comportamiento ante la variación de algunos de sus principales determinantes.

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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Temas de Estabilidad Financiera with number 044.

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Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:044
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  1. Nicholas Barr, 2006. "Pensions: Overview of the Issues," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 1-14, Spring.
  2. Nicholas Barr & Peter Diamond, 2006. "The Economics of Pensions," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 15-39, Spring.
  3. David Blake & Les Mayhew, 2006. "On The Sustainability of the UK State Pension System in the Light of Population Ageing and Declining Fertility," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(512), pages F286-F305, 06.
  4. Paul Emms & Steven Haberman, 2008. "Income Drawdown Schemes for a Defined-Contribution Pension Plan," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 75(3), pages 739-761.
  5. Ulpiano Ayala & Olga Lucía Acosta, 2002. "Políticas para promover una ampliación de la cobertura del sistema de pensiones en Colombia," DOCUMENTOS DE INVESTIGACION 003352, CEPAL NACIONES UNIDAS.
  6. Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León & Freddy H. Castro & Gabriel Piraquive, 2009. "Modelo de simulación del valor de la pensión de un trabajador en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 005387, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  7. Whitehouse, Edward, 2006. "New indicators of 30 OECD countries' pension systems," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(03), pages 275-298, November.
  8. Rafael Rofman & Leonardo Lucchetti & Guzmán Ourens, 2010. "Pension Systems in Latin America: Concepts and Measurements of Coverage," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0510, Department of Economics - dECON.
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