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The catalytic role of IMF programs

Author

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  • Claudia Maurini

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Alessandro Schiavone

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of IMF programs on private capital flows in the assisted countries. We look at the impact on inflows and outflows of both traditional and precautionary programs, also taking into account the characteristics of the programs. Using the entropy balancing method to address the selection bias, we find that traditional IMF programs have an anticatalytic effect on private capital inflows; this effect is mainly driven by programs that went off-track and by exceptional access programs. By contrast, precautionary programs are found to have a catalytic effect, working mainly through outflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudia Maurini & Alessandro Schiavone, 2021. "The catalytic role of IMF programs," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1331, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1331_21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Monetary Fund; catalysis; capital flows;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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