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Nueva actualización del modelo trimestral del Banco de España

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Hurtado

    (Banco de España)

  • Elena Fernández

    (Banco de España)

  • Eva Ortega

    (Banco de España)

  • Alberto Urtasun

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

El Modelo Trimestral del Banco de España (MTBE) constituye una herramienta fundamental para la elaboración de proyecciones a medio plazo de la economía española y para la cuantificación de los posibles efectos de distintas medidas de política económica o de perturbaciones de diversa índole. Dentro del proceso de continua mejora de este instrumento, en los últimos meses se ha procedido a una remodelación sustancial del mismo. Los cambios introducidos son tanto de actualización de la estimación, ampliando la muestra de datos hasta finales de 2008, como metodológicos, y afectan a todas las facetas del modelo. Además, se han incorporado un conjunto de variables explicativas que aproximan los efectos de la confianza y de las restricciones crediticias sobre las decisiones de gasto, y que permiten analizar de forma adecuada el período más reciente de la economía española.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Hurtado & Elena Fernández & Eva Ortega & Alberto Urtasun, 2011. "Nueva actualización del modelo trimestral del Banco de España," Occasional Papers 1106, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:1106
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    File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosOcasionales/11/Fich/do1106.pdf
    File Function: First version, August 2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Eva Ortega & Eva Ferraz & Samuel Hurtado, 2007. "Actualización del modelo trimestral del Banco de España," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN, pages 55-65, Junio.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samuel Hurtado & Pablo Manzano & Eva Ortega & Alberto Urtasun, 2014. "Update and re-estimation of the quarterly model of Banco de España (MTBE)," Occasional Papers 1403, Banco de España.
    2. Manuel Blanco Losada & Rafael Frutos Vívar & Elena López y Díaz-Delgado & Silvio Martínez Vicente, 2014. "La influencia de la riqueza financiera sobre el consumo privado. Análisis de la experiencia española durante la Gran Recesión," Working Papers 03/14, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spanish economy; macroeconometric model;

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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