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Optimal timing of environmental policy under partial information

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  • Pablo Garcia

Abstract

I explore the optimal timing of environmental policy when the stock of natural capital is unobserved and can only be imperfectly measured. I present two key insights. First, noisy signals about the natural capital stock blur the inference process, thereby easing the conditions under which policy adoption becomes optimal. Second, the interaction be tween natural capital stock volatility and the inference process gives rise to new effects that are absent under perfect information. Specifically, the impact of increased volatility on the conditions for optimal policy adoption varies depending on the information set. My work contributes to both the environmental policy timing literature and the field of resource man agement under incomplete information.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Garcia, 2024. "Optimal timing of environmental policy under partial information," BCL working papers 180, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcl:bclwop:bclwp180
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pindyck, Robert S., 2000. "Irreversibilities and the timing of environmental policy," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 233-259, July.
    2. Pindyck, Robert S., 2002. "Optimal timing problems in environmental economics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1677-1697, August.
    3. Ben Abdallah, Skander & Lasserre, Pierre, 2012. "A real option approach to the protection of a habitat dependent endangered species," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 295-318.
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    5. Charles Sims & David Finnoff, 2016. "Opposing Irreversibilities and Tipping Point Uncertainty," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(4), pages 985-1022.
    6. Agliardi, Elettra & Sereno, Luigi, 2012. "Environmental protection, public finance requirements and the timing of emission reductions," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(6), pages 715-739, December.
    7. Kassar, Ilhem & Lasserre, Pierre, 2004. "Species preservation and biodiversity value: a real options approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 857-879, September.
    8. Clark, Colin W. & Kirkwood, Geoffrey P., 1986. "On uncertain renewable resource stocks: Optimal harvest policies and the value of stock surveys," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 235-244, September.
    9. Sloggy, Matthew R. & Kling, David M. & Plantinga, Andrew J., 2020. "Measure twice, cut once: Optimal inventory and harvest under volume uncertainty and stochastic price dynamics," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Georgina M. Mace & Mike Barrett & Neil D. Burgess & Sarah E. Cornell & Robin Freeman & Monique Grooten & Andy Purvis, 2018. "Aiming higher to bend the curve of biodiversity loss," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(9), pages 448-451, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural capital; Partial information; Optimal stopping.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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