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Are fiscal rules helpful in mitigating the impact of oil market fluctuations?

Author

Listed:
  • Fuad Mammadov

    (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic)

  • Shaig Adigozalov

    (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic)

Abstract

In this paper we empirically examined the role of fiscal rules in mitigating the impact of oil market fluctuations in resource-rich economies using a structural panel VAR framework following Pedroni (2013) and incorporating identification scheme of Kilian (2009). Our key findings can be summarized as: l) oil exporting developing countries exhibit procyclical respond to positive oil market specific demand shock, 2) there are significant cross-country differences in the way governments respond to the oil market shocks, 3) fiscal rules mitigate the shocks and generate fiscal discipline only if when all fiscal rules are imposed simultaneously, 4) we couldn’t identify any significant role of wealth funds as a budget stabilization policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuad Mammadov & Shaig Adigozalov, 2017. "Are fiscal rules helpful in mitigating the impact of oil market fluctuations?," Working Papers 1703, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic.
    • Handle: RePEc:aze:wpaper:1703
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal rule; structural panel VAR; oil shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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