Population Aging, the Composition of Government Spending,and Endogenous Economic Growth in Politico-Economic Equilibrium
This paper introduces a democratic voting process into an OLG economy in order to analyze the e ffects of a rising old-age dependency ratio on the composition of government spending and endogenous economic growth. Forward-looking agents vote each period on the public policy mix between productive government expenditure and public consumption spending that benefi ts the elderly. Population aging shifts political power from the young to the old. While this does not aff ect public productive expenditure, it leads to an increase in public spending on the elderly and a slowdown in economic growth. However, the overall e ffect on long-term economic growth is positive. This is due to reduced capital dilution or increased saving.
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- Gonzalez-Eiras, Martin & Niepelt, Dirk, 2008.
"The future of social security,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 197-218, March.
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- Gonzalez-Eiras, Martin & Niepelt, Dirk, 2007. "Population Ageing, Government Budgets, and Productivity Growth in Politico-Economic Equilibrium," CEPR Discussion Papers 6581, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martín Gonzales-Eiras & Dirk Niepelt, 2007. "Population Ageing, Government Budgets, and Productivity Growth in Politico-Economic Equilibrium," Working Papers 07.05, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.