IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aue/wpaper/2544.html

Assessing national climate-neutrality plans through a modelling nexus lens: the case of Greece

Author

Listed:
  • Phoebe Koundouri
  • Angelos Alamanos
  • Giannis Arampatzidis
  • Stathis Devves
  • Konstantinos Dellis
  • Christopher Deranian

Abstract

Achieving climate-neutrality is a global imperative that demands coordinated efforts from both science and robust policies supporting a smooth transition across multiple sectors. However, the interdisciplinary and complex science-to-policy nature of this effort makes it particularly challenging for several countries. Greece has set ambitious goals across different policies; however, their progress is often debated. For the first time, we simulated a scenario representing Greece's climate-neutrality goals drawing upon its main relevant energy, agricultural and water policies by 2050. We follow a systems-nexus approach that encompasses the FABLE Calculator, the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP), and the tools WaterReqGCH, LandReqCalcGCH and BiofuelGCH. The results indicate that most individual/sector policies have the potential to significantly reduce carbon emissions across all sectors of the economy (residential, industrial, transportation, services, agriculture, and energy production). However, their implementation seems to be based on governance assumptions that often overlook sectoral interdependencies and infrastructure constraints, hindering progress towards a unified and more holistic sustainable transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Phoebe Koundouri & Angelos Alamanos & Giannis Arampatzidis & Stathis Devves & Konstantinos Dellis & Christopher Deranian, 2025. "Assessing national climate-neutrality plans through a modelling nexus lens: the case of Greece," DEOS Working Papers 2544, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:aue:wpaper:2544
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2025.Greek.CGH.pdf
    File Function: First version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simone Abram & Ed Atkins & Alix Dietzel & Kirsten Jenkins & Lorna Kiamba & Joshua Kirshner & Julia Kreienkamp & Karen Parkhill & Tom Pegram & Lara M. Santos Ayllón, 2022. "Just Transition: A whole-systems approach to decarbonisation," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(8), pages 1033-1049, September.
    2. Abeliotis, Konstadinos & Costarelli, Vassiliki & Anagnostopoulos, Konstadinos, 2016. "The Effect of Different Types of Diet on Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Greece," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 7(01), pages 1-14, February.
    3. Halkos, George E. & Tzeremes, Nickolaos G., 2012. "Analyzing the Greek renewable energy sector: A Data Envelopment Analysis approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 2884-2893.
    4. Yan Li & Ruilian Zhang, 2023. "A Review of Water-Energy-Food Nexus Development in a Just Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Martin, Nick & Talens-Peiró, Laura & Villalba-Méndez, Gara & Nebot-Medina, Rafael & Madrid-López, Cristina, 2023. "An energy future beyond climate neutrality: Comprehensive evaluations of transition pathways," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    6. Kouridis, Ch & Vlachokostas, Ch, 2022. "Towards decarbonizing road transport: Environmental and social benefit of vehicle fleet electrification in urban areas of Greece," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    7. Phoebe Koundouri & Angelos Alamanos & Angelos Plataniotis & Charalampos Stavridis & Konstantinos Perifanos & Stathis Devves, 2024. "Assessing the sustainability of the European Green Deal and its interlinkages with the SDGs," DEOS Working Papers 2405, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    8. Diamantis Koutsandreas & Evangelos Spiliotis & Haris Doukas & John Psarras, 2021. "What Is the Macroeconomic Impact of Higher Decarbonization Speeds? The Case of Greece," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, April.
    9. Leon Merfort & Nico Bauer & Florian Humpenöder & David Klein & Jessica Strefler & Alexander Popp & Gunnar Luderer & Elmar Kriegler, 2023. "Bioenergy-induced land-use-change emissions with sectorally fragmented policies," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(7), pages 685-692, July.
    10. Felix Kattelmann & Jonathan Siegle & Roland Cunha Montenegro & Vera Sehn & Markus Blesl & Ulrich Fahl, 2021. "How to Reach the New Green Deal Targets: Analysing the Necessary Burden Sharing within the EU Using a Multi-Model Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-24, November.
    11. Felder, F.A. & Kumar, P., 2021. "A review of existing deep decarbonization models and their potential in policymaking," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    12. Tsoutsos, Theocharis & Papadopoulou, Eleni & Katsiri, Alexandra & Papadopoulos, Agis M., 2008. "Supporting schemes for renewable energy sources and their impact on reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases in Greece," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(7), pages 1767-1788, September.
    13. Chrysaida-Aliki Papadopoulou & Maria P. Papadopoulou & Chrysi Laspidou, 2022. "Implementing Water-Energy-Land-Food-Climate Nexus Approach to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals in Greece: Indicators and Policy Recommendations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-21, March.
    14. Shinichiro Fujimori & Volker Krey & Detlef Vuuren & Ken Oshiro & Masahiro Sugiyama & Puttipong Chunark & Bundit Limmeechokchai & Shivika Mittal & Osamu Nishiura & Chan Park & Salony Rajbhandari & Dieg, 2021. "A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(6), pages 472-480, June.
    15. Capros, Pantelis & Zazias, Georgios & Evangelopoulou, Stavroula & Kannavou, Maria & Fotiou, Theofano & Siskos, Pelopidas & De Vita, Alessia & Sakellaris, Konstantinos, 2019. "Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. Alper Karasoy, 2024. "Is agricultural production detrimental to Greece's ecological sustainability? Evidence from the dynamic ARDL simulations and bootstrap causality analysis," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(3), pages 925-940, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:pra:mprapa:124146 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Koundouri, Phoebe & Alamanos, Angelos & Arampatzidis, Ioannis & Devves, Stathis & Dellis, Konstantinos & Deranian, Christopher & Nisiforou, Olympia & Sachs, Jeffrey D., 2025. "Assessing Greece’s plans towards climate-neutrality under a water-energy-food-emissions modelling nexus: Ambitious goals versus scattered efforts," MPRA Paper 124660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Cai, Angzu & Wang, Leyi & Zhang, Yuhao & Wu, Haoran & Zhang, Huai & Guo, Ru & Wu, Jiang, 2025. "Uncovering the multiple socio-economic driving factors of carbon emissions in nine urban agglomerations of China based on machine learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    4. Doukas, Haris & Papadopoulou, Alexandra & Savvakis, Nikolaos & Tsoutsos, Theocharis & Psarras, John, 2012. "Assessing energy sustainability of rural communities using Principal Component Analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 1949-1957.
    5. Agarwal, Anu & Sharma, Tarun, 2025. "Integrated energy system modeling perspectives for future decarbonization pathways based on sector coupling, life-cycle emissions and vehicle-to-grid integration," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    6. Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Ke & Yi, Hongru & Cheng, Youfeng & Zhen, Juntao & Hu, Haisheng, 2024. "Carbon emission drivers of China's power sector and its transformation for global decarbonization contribution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PA).
    7. Kılkış, Şiir & Ulpiani, Giulia & Vetters, Nadja, 2024. "Visions for climate neutrality and opportunities for co-learning in European cities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    8. Stergios Statharas & Yannis Moysoglou & Pelopidas Siskos & Pantelis Capros, 2021. "Simulating the Evolution of Business Models for Electricity Recharging Infrastructure Development by 2030: A Case Study for Greece," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-24, April.
    9. Zafirakis, D. & Chalvatzis, K. & Kaldellis, J.K., 2013. "“Socially just” support mechanisms for the promotion of renewable energy sources in Greece," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 478-493.
    10. Tarasova, Ekaterina, 2024. "Multiple just transitions? A study of how a just transition is envisioned in Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    11. Xu, Guangyue & Dong, Haoyun & Xu, Zhenci & Bhattarai, Nishan, 2022. "China can reach carbon neutrality before 2050 by improving economic development quality," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    12. Jonek-Kowalska, Izabela, 2024. "Demonstrating the need for a just transition: Socioeconomic diagnosis of polish cities living on hard coal mining," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    13. Doumpos, Michalis & Andriosopoulos, Kostas & Galariotis, Emilios & Makridou, Georgia & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2017. "Corporate failure prediction in the European energy sector: A multicriteria approach and the effect of country characteristics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(1), pages 347-360.
    14. Tian, Xuelin & An, Chunjiang & Chen, Zhikun, 2023. "The role of clean energy in achieving decarbonization of electricity generation, transportation, and heating sectors by 2050: A meta-analysis review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    15. Ruoxi Pan & Yiping Liang & Yifei Li & Kai Zhou & Jiarui Miao, 2023. "Environmental and Health Benefits of Promoting New Energy Vehicles: A Case Study Based on Chongqing City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    16. Kaldellis, J.K., 2011. "Critical evaluation of financial supporting schemes for wind-based projects: Case study Greece," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2490-2500, May.
    17. Khan, Muhammad Imran & Asfand, Faisal & Al-Ghamdi, Sami G. & Bicer, Yusuf & Khan, Mushtaq & Farooq, Muhammad & Pesyridis, Apostolos, 2025. "Realizing the promise of concentrating solar power for thermal desalination: A review of technology configurations and optimizations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    18. Francesco Montana & Maurizio Cellura & Maria Luisa Di Silvestre & Sonia Longo & Le Quyen Luu & Eleonora Riva Sanseverino & Giuseppe Sciumè, 2024. "Assessing Critical Raw Materials and Their Supply Risk in Energy Technologies—A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-14, December.
    19. Idiano D'Adamo & Edouard Nicolas Rossi, 2025. "Impact of regional investment on the sustainable development goals: A group analysis of economic and territorial development," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 1816-1834, April.
    20. Anna Sowiżdżał & Michał Kaczmarczyk & Leszek Pająk & Barbara Tomaszewska & Wojciech Luboń & Grzegorz Pełka, 2025. "Environmental and Economic Optimisation of Single-Family Buildings Thermomodernisation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-28, August.
    21. Hyungguen Park & Changhee Kim, 2018. "Do Shifts in Renewable Energy Operation Policy Affect Efficiency: Korea’s Shift from FIT to RPS and Its Results," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aue:wpaper:2544. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ekaterini Glynou (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/diauegr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.