IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/natres/v48y2024i3p925-940.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Is agricultural production detrimental to Greece's ecological sustainability? Evidence from the dynamic ARDL simulations and bootstrap causality analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Alper Karasoy

Abstract

Agricultural production (AP) can play a prominent role in establishing food security. However, AP has an innate relationship with nature's demand and supply sides. Furthermore, unsustainable AP can harm a country's ecological sustainability by increasing the ecological deficit (i.e., the disparity between ecological footprint and biocapacity). In that respect, this research econometrically examines the AP–ecological deficit link in Greece for the 1965–2018 period. The following findings are revealed in this study. First, the ecological deficit and AP in Greece have a cointegrating relationship. Second, besides energy use and income, AP significantly contributes to Greece's ecological deficit in the long run. Third, the dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulations show that the short run effect of a positive (negative) shock in AP on Greece's ecological deficit is insignificant. However, in the long run, the impact of a positive (negative) shock in AP gradually becomes significant and intensifies (decreases) the ecological deficit in Greece. Last, the bootstrap causality test with the Fourier approximation generally confirms these findings, revealing that unidirectional causality runs from AP to the ecological deficit. These results indicate that unless sustainability measures are strictly followed in the energy and agricultural sectors, AP could continue undermining Greece's long‐run ecological sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Alper Karasoy, 2024. "Is agricultural production detrimental to Greece's ecological sustainability? Evidence from the dynamic ARDL simulations and bootstrap causality analysis," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(3), pages 925-940, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:natres:v:48:y:2024:i:3:p:925-940
    DOI: 10.1111/1477-8947.12358
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12358
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/1477-8947.12358?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hatzigeorgiou, Emmanouil & Polatidis, Heracles & Haralambopoulos, Dias, 2011. "CO2 emissions, GDP and energy intensity: A multivariate cointegration and causality analysis for Greece, 1977-2007," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1377-1385, April.
    2. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    3. Kapetanios, George & Shin, Yongcheol & Snell, Andy, 2003. "Testing for a unit root in the nonlinear STAR framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 359-379, February.
    4. Cosimo Magazzino & Marco Mele & Fabio Gaetano Santeramo, 2021. "Using an Artificial Neural Networks Experiment to Assess the Links among Financial Development and Growth in Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Chopra, Ritika & Magazzino, Cosimo & Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Rao, Amar & Shahzad, Umer, 2022. "The role of renewable energy and natural resources for sustainable agriculture in ASEAN countries: Do carbon emissions and deforestation affect agriculture productivity?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gormus, N. Alper & Soytas, Uğur, 2016. "Oil prices and real estate investment trusts (REITs): Gradual-shift causality and volatility transmission analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-175.
    7. Saikkonen, Pentti, 1992. "Estimation and Testing of Cointegrated Systems by an Autoregressive Approximation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, March.
    8. David Lin & Laurel Hanscom & Adeline Murthy & Alessandro Galli & Mikel Evans & Evan Neill & Maria Serena Mancini & Jon Martindill & Fatime-Zahra Medouar & Shiyu Huang & Mathis Wackernagel, 2018. "Ecological Footprint Accounting for Countries: Updates and Results of the National Footprint Accounts, 2012–2018," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-22, September.
    9. Usman, Muhammad & Makhdum, Muhammad Sohail Amjad, 2021. "What abates ecological footprint in BRICS-T region? Exploring the influence of renewable energy, non-renewable energy, agriculture, forest area and financial development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 12-28.
    10. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
    11. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    12. Sayed Saghaian & Hosein Mohammadi & Morteza Mohammadi, 2022. "The Effects of Agricultural Product Exports on Environmental Quality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-11, October.
    13. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Ajayi, Gbenga E. & Suhrab, Muhammad & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2022. "How critical are resource rents, agriculture, growth, and renewable energy to environmental degradation in the resource-rich African countries? The role of institutional quality," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    14. Guangzhu Zhou & Hongping Li & Ilhan Ozturk & Sana Ullah, 2022. "Shocks in agricultural productivity and CO2 emissions: new environmental challenges for China in the green economy," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 5790-5806, December.
    15. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    16. Andrew Q. Philips, 2018. "Have Your Cake and Eat It Too? Cointegration and Dynamic Inference from Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 62(1), pages 230-244, January.
    17. Sebastian Kripfganz & Daniel C. Schneider, 2020. "Response Surface Regressions for Critical Value Bounds and Approximate p‐values in Equilibrium Correction Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(6), pages 1456-1481, December.
    18. Moran, Daniel D. & Wackernagel, Mathis & Kitzes, Justin A. & Goldfinger, Steven H. & Boutaud, Aurelien, 2008. "Measuring sustainable development -- Nation by nation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 470-474, January.
    19. Anthony Rezitis & Kostas Tsiboukas & Stauros Tsoukalas, 2002. "Measuring technical efficiency in the Greek agricultural sector," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(11), pages 1345-1357.
    20. Magazzino, Cosimo & Giolli, Lorenzo, 2021. "The relationship among railway networks, energy consumption, and real added value in Italy. Evidence form ARDL and Wavelet analysis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Koundouri, Phoebe & Alamanos, Angelos & Arampatzidis, Ioannis & Devves, Stathis & Sachs, Jeffrey D., 2025. "Assessing Greece’s plans towards climate-neutrality under a water-energy-food-emissions modelling nexus: Ambitious goals versus scattered efforts," MPRA Paper 124146, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Oryani, Bahareh & Koo, Yoonmo & Rezania, Shahabaldin & Shafiee, Afsaneh, 2021. "Investigating the asymmetric impact of energy consumption on reshaping future energy policy and economic growth in Iran using extended Cobb-Douglas production function," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Hasanov, Fakhri J. & Shannak, Sa'd, 2020. "Electricity incentives for agriculture in Saudi Arabia. Is that relevant to remove them?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    3. Philipp Lieberknecht & Philip Vermeulen, 2022. "Wealth and income inequality in the long run," CAMA Working Papers 2022-37, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Awosusi, Abraham Ayobamiji & Bekun, Festus Victor & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2021. "Coal energy consumption beat renewable energy consumption in South Africa: Developing policy framework for sustainable development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 1012-1024.
    5. Aleh Mazol, 2015. "Exchange Rate, Imports of Intermediate and Capital Goods and GDP Growth in Belarus," BEROC Working Paper Series 32, Belarusian Economic Research and Outreach Center (BEROC).
    6. Ogali, Oscar I.O. & Okoro, Emeka E. & Olafuyi, Saburi G., 2023. "Assessing consensus on nexus between natural gas consumption and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    7. Babatunde Sunday Eweade & Ada Chigozie Akadiri & Kehinde O. Olusoga & Ruth Oluyemi Bamidele, 2024. "The symbiotic effects of energy consumption, globalization, and combustible renewables and waste on ecological footprint in the United Kingdom," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(1), pages 274-291, February.
    8. Georgios Bertsatos & Plutarchos Sakellaris & Mike G. Tsionas, 2022. "Extensions of the Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) bounds testing procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 605-634, February.
    9. Zheng, Li & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Salem, Sultan & Irfan, Muhammad & Alvarado, Rafael & Lv, Kangjuan, 2022. "How technological innovation and institutional quality affect sectoral energy consumption in Pakistan? Fresh policy insights from novel econometric approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    10. Mohammad I. Elian & Khalid M. Kisswani, 2018. "Oil price changes and stock market returns: cointegration evidence from emerging market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 317-337, November.
    11. Ansgar Belke & Robert Czudaj, 2010. "Is Euro Area Money Demand (Still) Stable? Cointegrated VAR Versus Single Equation Techniques," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 56(4), pages 285-315.
    12. George N. Ike & Ojonugwa Usman & Cihat Köksal, 2025. "Oil price movements and agricultural production from heterogeneous sub‐sectors: Analysing the Dutch disease in an African resource‐rich economy," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 6-28, February.
    13. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Akadiri, Seyi Saint, 2021. "Clean energy development in the United States amidst augmented socioeconomic aspects and country-specific policies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 221-230.
    14. Münevvere Yıldız, 2022. "Econometric Analysis of the Relationship of Financial Access, Economic Growth and Private Sector Investments," Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), Maliye ve Finans Yazıları Yayıncılık Ltd. Şti., vol. 37(118), pages 199-220, October.
    15. Sulhi Ridzuan, 2024. "Income redistribution and carbon emissions in Portugal," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(3), pages 421-437, September.
    16. Roy, Arup, 2024. "Impacts of economic development, globalization, and gross capital formation on natural resources rents: Evidence from India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    17. Rita Ariani & Kamal Fachrurrozi & Adhiana Adhiana & Akhmad Baihaqi, 2024. "Agriculture Productivity and Environmental Degradation in Indonesia: A Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 665-674, November.
    18. Musah, Mohammed & Onifade, Stephen Taiwo & Ankrah, Isaac & Gyamfi, Bright Akwasi & Amoako, George Kofi, 2024. "Achieving net-zero emission target in Africa: Are sustainable energy innovations and financialization crucial for environmental sustainability of sub-Saharan African state?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    19. repec:zbw:rwirep:0171 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Hervé Nenghem Takam & Roger Tsafack Nanfosso, 2024. "Importance of official development assistance in improving the economic cycles of Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(7), pages 1-22, July.
    21. Oryani, Bahareh & Moridian, Ali & Sarkar, Biswajit & Rezania, Shahabaldin & Kamyab, Hesam & Khan, Muhammad Kamran, 2022. "Assessing the financial rеsоurсе curse hypothesis in Iran: Thе nоvеl dynаmiс АRDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:natres:v:48:y:2024:i:3:p:925-940. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1111/(ISSN)1477-8947 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.