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Identifying the exchange-rate balance sheet effect over firms

Author

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  • César Carrera

    (Banco Central de Reserva del Perú)

Abstract

I use firm-level data on investment and evaluate the balance sheet effect of changes in the exchange rate. The fact that a depreciation not only generates an expansion (for a small open economy that exports raw materials) but also has the potential of recession (in a dollarized economy in which most firms’ liabilities are in foreign currency) brings up the question on what the final effect of a depreciation over either investment or production is. Following Bleakley and Cowan (2008), I evaluate if this channel is operating. My estimations indicates that this effect tends to disappear when terms of trade are considered, result that is robust to different specifications.

Suggested Citation

  • César Carrera, 2016. "Identifying the exchange-rate balance sheet effect over firms," Working Papers 66, Peruvian Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:apc:wpaper:2016-066
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Carranza, Luis & Galdon-Sanchez, Jose E. & Gomez-Biscarri, Javier, 2011. "The relationship between investment and large exchange rate depreciations in dollarized economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1265-1279.
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    Cited by:

    1. N. R. Ramírez-Rondán, 2019. "Balance sheet and currency mismatch: evidence for Peruvian firms," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 449-473, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Balance sheet effect; exchange rate; investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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