IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/wagmwp/46448.html

A Behavioral Approach Towards Futures Contract Usage

Author

Listed:
  • Pennings, Joost M.E.
  • Leuthold, Raymond M.

Abstract

We propose a behavioral decision-making model to investigate what factors, observable as well as unobservable, owner-managers consider regarding futures contract usage. The conceptual model consists of two phases, reflecting the two-stage decision structure of manager’s use of futures. In the first phase owner-managers consider whether futures are within the market choice set for the enterprise. In the second phase the owner-manager decides whether or not to initiate a futures position when confronted with a concrete choice situation. In both phases owner-manager’s beliefs and perceptions play an important role. The proposed model is tested on a data set of Dutch farmers, based on computer-assisted personal interviews. Because we incorporate latent variables (e.g., perceptions and beliefs) in both phases, we propose an estimation procedure that takes the measurement error of these latent variables explicitly into account. The implications of the behavioral decision-making model for futures contract design are derived.

Suggested Citation

  • Pennings, Joost M.E. & Leuthold, Raymond M., 2001. "A Behavioral Approach Towards Futures Contract Usage," Mansholt Working Papers 46448, Wageningen University, Mansholt Graduate School of Social Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wagmwp:46448
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.46448
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/46448/files/2001-02%20MP.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.46448?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joost M.E. Pennings & Raymond M. Leuthold, 2000. "The Role of Farmers' Behavioral Attitudes and Heterogeneity in Futures Contracts Usage," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(4), pages 908-919.
    2. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Garcia, Philip, 2001. "Unobserved Heterogeneity: Evidence and Implications for SMEs' Hedging Behavior," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18955, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammad & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John, 2007. "PR - Behavioural Factors Affecting The Adoption Of Forward Contracts By Australian Wool Producers," 16th Congress, Cork, Ireland, July 15-20, 2007 345384, International Farm Management Association.
    3. Mofokeng, Maine & Vink, Nick, 2013. "Factors Affecting the Hedging Decision of Maize Farmers in Gauteng Province," 2013 Fourth International Conference, September 22-25, 2013, Hammamet, Tunisia 161465, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Williams, John & Malcolm, Bill, 2012. "Farmer decisions about selling wheat and managing wheat price risk in Australia," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 20, pages 1-10.
    2. Dorfman, Jeffrey H. & Karali, Berna, 2010. "Do Farmers Hedge Optimally or by Habit? A Bayesian Partial-Adjustment Model of Farmer Hedging," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(4), pages 791-803, November.
    3. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "How To Group Market Participants? Heterogeneity In Hedging Behavior," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 21963, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Gómez-Limón, José A. & Gutiérrez-Martín, Carlos & Riesgo, Laura, 2016. "Modeling at farm level: Positive Multi-Attribute Utility Programming," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 17-27.
    5. Aymeric Ricome & Arnaud Reynaud, 2022. "Marketing contract choices in agriculture: The role of price expectation and price risk management," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 170-186, January.
    6. Granoszewski, Karol & Spiller, Achim, 2013. "Langfristige Rohstoffsicherung in der Supply Chain Biogas: Status Quo und Potenziale vertraglicher Zusammenarbeit," Department of Agricultural and Rural Development (DARE) Discussion Papers 260820, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    7. Pedersen, Michael F., 2013. "PR - Reallocation Of Price Risk Among Cooperartive Members," 19th Congress, Warsaw, Poland, 2013 345690, International Farm Management Association.
    8. Daniel L. Prager & Christopher B. Burns & Ryan Williams, 2025. "Why Don't Farmers Use Futures and Options for Hedging? An Examination of Historical Basis Risk and Cash Constraints," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(9), pages 1324-1342, September.
    9. Sauthoff, Saramena & Anastassiadis, Friederike & Mußhoff, Oliver, 2015. "Analyzing farmers' preferences for substrate supply contracts for sugar beets," DARE Discussion Papers 1509, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    10. Hakelius, Karin & Hansson, Helena, . "Members’ attitudes towards cooperatives and their perception of agency problems," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 19(4).
    11. Jackson, Elizabeth & Quaddus, Mohammed & Islam, Nazrul & Stanton, John & Hoque, Zohurul, 2007. "A Multi-Disciplinary Approach For Determining Adoption Of Agricultural Price Risk Management Strategies," 81st Annual Conference, April 2-4, 2007, Reading University, UK 7985, Agricultural Economics Society.
    12. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., "undated". "Accounting for Heterogeneity in Hedging Behavior: Comparing & Evaluating Grouping Methods," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114787, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Johnson, Matthew & Yu, T. Edward & Griffith, Andrew P. & Jensen, Kimberly L. & Cho, Seong-Hoon, 2015. "Regional Dynamic Price Relationships between Distillers Dried Grains and Feed Grains," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196900, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Helena Hansson & Carl Johan Lagerkvist, 2014. "Decision Making for Animal Health and Welfare: Integrating Risk‐Benefit Analysis with Prospect Theory," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(6), pages 1149-1159, June.
    15. Jing Hou & Linhai Wu & Bo Hou, 2020. "Risk Attitude, Contract Arrangements and Enforcement in Food Safety Governance: A China’s Agri-Food Supply Chain Scenario," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-16, April.
    16. Tamirat, Aderajew AS & Trujillo-Barrera, Andres A. & Pennings, Joost M. E., "undated". "Do Profit Rates Converge? Evidence on the Persistence of Farm Profit in the Long-run," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Revoredo-Giha, Cesar & Leat, Philip M.K., 2008. "Collaborative supply chain initiatives as devices to cope with income variability in the Scottish red meat sector," Working Papers 61105, Scotland's Rural College (formerly Scottish Agricultural College), Land Economy & Environment Research Group.
    18. Berkhout, Ezra D. & Schipper, Robert A. & Kuyvenhoven, Arie & Coulibaly, Ousmane, 2009. "Does heterogeneity in goals and preferences affect allocative and technical efficiency? A case study in Northern Nigeria," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51676, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. McCarthy, Nancy & Dutilly-Diane, Celine & Drabo, Boureima, 2002. "Cooperation, collective action and natural resources management in Burkina Faso: a methodological note," CAPRi working papers 27, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    20. Vassalos, Michael & Li, Yingbo, . "Assessing the Impact of Fresh Vegetable Growers’ Risk Aversion Levels and Risk Preferences on the Probability of Adopting Marketing Contracts: A Bayesian Approach," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 19(01), pages 1-18.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:wagmwp:46448. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/mgwaunl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.