IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/332682.html

Removal of EU Milk Quotas Using a CGE Model with Imperfect Competition and Heterogeneous Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Philippidis, George
  • Waschik, Robert

Abstract

The year 2015 marked the end of one of the longest surviving legacies of the `old' Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) – the elimination of the milk quota. A review of the modelling literature reveals a number of ex ante impact assessments of quota abolition. The general consensus is that quota abolition will benefit aggregate EU milk and dairy output, largely through the mechanism of market price falls as quota rents dissipate. Despite evidence to the contrary in the dairy industry, a further common feature to all these studies is the assumption of perfect competition and constant returns to scale to characterise producer, as well as homogeneous product preferences. This study seeks to fill this gap in the literature by focusing on the export potential of EU dairy producers under conditions of imperfect competition, employing the latest developments in the applied modelling literature. When the dairy sector is modelled as a `Melitz' sector, quota removal results in a drop in price charged by average firm. This price drop is slightly greater in France and Rest of EU than it is in Germany, but there is a large increase in the quantity and productivity of the average firm in France and the Rest of EU. Against a baseline of stagnant or declining output, the abolition of EU milk quotas in 2015 should lead to strong growth in EU dairy output. When dairy is modelled as an imperfectly competitive `Melitz' sector, stronger productivity growth in France and the Rest of EU lead to stronger growth in dairy output.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippidis, George & Waschik, Robert, 2016. "Removal of EU Milk Quotas Using a CGE Model with Imperfect Competition and Heterogeneous Firms," Conference papers 332682, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332682
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332682/files/8235.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Spence, 1976. "Product Selection, Fixed Costs, and Monopolistic Competition," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 43(2), pages 217-235.
    2. Baldos, Uris Lantz & Thomas Hertel, 2014. "Bursting the Bubble: A Long Run Perspective on Crop Commodity Prices," GTAP Working Papers 4574, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    3. Zeynep Akgul & Nelson B Villoria & Thomas W Hertel, 2016. "GTAP-HET: Introducing Firm Heterogeneity into the GTAP Model," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 111-180, June.
    4. Marc J. Melitz, 2003. "The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1695-1725, November.
    5. Peter Dixon & Michael Jerie & Maureen Rimmer, 2016. "Modern Trade Theory for CGE Modelling: The Armington, Krugman and Melitz Models," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 1-110, June.
    6. Martin Lampe & Dirk Willenbockel & Helal Ahammad & Elodie Blanc & Yongxia Cai & Katherine Calvin & Shinichiro Fujimori & Tomoko Hasegawa & Petr Havlik & Edwina Heyhoe & Page Kyle & Hermann Lotze-Campe, 2014. "Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(1), pages 3-20, January.
    7. Balistreri, Edward J. & Hillberry, Russell H. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2011. "Structural estimation and solution of international trade models with heterogeneous firms," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 95-108, March.
    8. Markus Lips & Peter Rieder, 2005. "Abolition of Raw Milk Quota in the European Union: A CGE Analysis at the Member Country Level," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 1-17, March.
    9. Alan Spearot, 2016. "Unpacking the Long-Run Effects of Tariff Shocks: New Structural Implications from Firm Heterogeneity Models," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 128-167, May.
    10. Dixit, Avinash K & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1977. "Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 297-308, June.
    11. Adenauer, Marcel, 2008. "CAPRI versus AGLINK-COSIMO: Two partial equilibrium models - Two baseline approaches," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44120, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Krugman, Paul R., 1979. "Increasing returns, monopolistic competition, and international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 469-479, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jafari, Yaghoob & Britz, Wolfgang, 2018. "Modelling heterogeneous firms and non-tariff measures in free trade agreements using Computable General Equilibrium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 279-294.
    2. Erwin Corong & Thomas Hertel & Robert McDougall & Marinos Tsigas & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2017. "The Standard GTAP Model, version 7," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 2(1), pages 1-119, June.
    3. Yaghoob Jafari & Wolfgang Britz, 2020. "Brexit: an economy-wide impact assessment on trade, immigration, and foreign direct investment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 17-52, February.
    4. Hosoe, Nobuhiro, 2018. "Impact of border barriers, returning migrants, and trade diversion in Brexit: Firm exit and loss of variety," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 193-204.
    5. Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa, 2023. "Fixed costs, market power and revenue shares of the asymmetric firms," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-34, March.
    6. Ahmad, Saad & Akgul, Zeynep, 2018. "Using Power Laws to Identify the Structural Parameters of Trade Models with Firm Heterogeneity," Conference papers 332993, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Niemi, Janne, 2019. "Trade, persistent habits and development - a dynamic CGE model analysis," Conference papers 333084, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Philippidis, George & Bartelings, Heleen & Smeets, Edward, 2018. "Sailing into Unchartered Waters: Plotting a Course for EU Bio-Based Sectors," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 410-421.
    9. Ardelean, Adina & Lugovskyy, Volodymyr, 2010. "Domestic productivity and variety gains from trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 280-291, March.
    10. Mohler, Lukas, 2009. "Globalization and the gains from variety: size and openness of countries and the extensive margin," MPRA Paper 17592, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Lukas Mohler, 2011. "Variety Gains from Trade in Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 147(I), pages 45-70, March.
    12. Paulo Bastos & Odd Rune Straume, 2012. "Globalization, product differentiation, and wage inequality," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(3), pages 857-878, August.
    13. Fally, Thibault, 2022. "Generalized separability and integrability: Consumer demand with a price aggregator," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    14. Bronnenberg, Bart, 2018. "Innovation and Distribution: A General Equilibrium Model of Manufacturing and Retailing," CEPR Discussion Papers 13058, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Kichko, Sergei & Ozhegova, Alina & Tarasov, Alexander, 2025. "Quality distortions in monopolistic competition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. David Rezza Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi & Kunal Sangani, 2024. "The Darwinian Returns to Scale," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(3), pages 1373-1405.
    17. Aubry, Amandine & Burzyński, Michał & Docquier, Frédéric, 2016. "The welfare impact of global migration in OECD countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-21.
    18. Bart J. Bronnenberg, 2015. "The provision of convenience and variety by the market," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(3), pages 480-498, September.
    19. Melitz, Marc J. & Redding, Stephen J., 2014. "Heterogeneous Firms and Trade," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 1-54, Elsevier.
    20. Balistreri, Edward J. & Tarr, David G., 2016. "Comparison of Welfare Results from Trade Liberalization in the Armington, Krugman and Melitz Models: Impacts with features of real economies," Conference papers 332773, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332682. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.