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Updated Estimated Economic Welfare Impacts Of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (Pedv)

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  • Paarlberg, Philip

Abstract

Estimates of pig loss from Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (PEDv) determine changes in economic welfare. Hog and pork prices rise, so aggregate returns to hog growers increase. For a 3% annual pig loss, growers gain $1.2 billion annually, while for a 6% annual pig loss, the gain is $2.3 billion. Losses to infected growers are smaller than gains to uninfected growers. Annual returns to hog slaughter fall by $481 to $929 million. Retail value-added falls by $1.1 to $2.2 billion. Annual consumer surplus also declines from $300 to $600 million. The estimated net annual decrease for U.S. economic welfare from PEDv summed across all effects ranges from $900 million to $1.8 billion.

Suggested Citation

  • Paarlberg, Philip, 2014. "Updated Estimated Economic Welfare Impacts Of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (Pedv)," Working papers 174517, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:puaewp:174517
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.174517
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    1. Paarlberg, Philip L. & Hillberg, Ann & Lee, John G. & Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr., 2008. "Economic Impacts of Foreign Animal Disease," Economic Research Report 56453, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    1. Yang, Shang-Ho & Burdine, Kenneth H. & Hu, Wu-Yueh, 2016. "An Alternative Approach to Estimate the Economic Loss of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea (PED) via Data Envelopment Analysis: The Case in Taiwan," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235574, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Eric M Clark & Scott C Merrill & Luke Trinity & Gabriela Bucini & Nicholas Cheney & Ollin Langle-Chimal & Trisha Shrum & Christopher Koliba & Asim Zia & Julia M Smith, 2020. "Using experimental gaming simulations to elicit risk mitigation behavioral strategies for agricultural disease management," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, March.

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