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Integrated land use modelling to analyse climate change adaptation in Austrian agriculture

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  • Kirchner, Mathias
  • Mitter, Hermine
  • Schönhart, Martin
  • Schmid, Erwin

Abstract

We present an integrated modelling framework (IMF) to analyse climate change impacts on biophysical processes and farm management responses at the spatial resolution of 1km2. The IMF is applied to the Austrian agricultural sector for the period 2025-2040. The model results show that national agricultural producer surplus changes only marginally between -1% and +1% depending on the climate scenario. The regional results reveal that eastern cropland regions are more negatively affected than alpine grassland regions, which intensify production. This leads to changes in opportunity costs for agri-environmental programs, which calls for more targeted measures to increase efficiency and adaptation potential.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirchner, Mathias & Mitter, Hermine & Schönhart, Martin & Schmid, Erwin, 2014. "Integrated land use modelling to analyse climate change adaptation in Austrian agriculture," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182944, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae14:182944
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.182944
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schneider, Uwe A. & McCarl, Bruce A. & Schmid, Erwin, 2007. "Agricultural sector analysis on greenhouse gas mitigation in US agriculture and forestry," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 128-140, May.
    2. Schmidt, J. & Schönhart, M. & Biberacher, M. & Guggenberger, T. & Hausl, S. & Kalt, G. & Leduc, S. & Schardinger, I. & Schmid, E., 2012. "Regional energy autarky: Potentials, costs and consequences for an Austrian region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 211-221.
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    4. Erwin Schmid & Franz Sinabell, 2004. "On the Choice of Farm Management Practices after the Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy in 2003," WIFO Working Papers 233, WIFO.
    5. Schneider, Uwe A. & Havlík, Petr & Schmid, Erwin & Valin, Hugo & Mosnier, Aline & Obersteiner, Michael & Böttcher, Hannes & Skalský, Rastislav & Balkovic, Juraj & Sauer, Timm & Fritz, Steffen, 2011. "Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 204-215, February.
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    7. Franziska Strauss & Erwin Schmid & Elena Moltchanova & Herbert Formayer & Xiuying Wang, 2012. "Modeling climate change and biophysical impacts of crop production in the Austrian Marchfeld Region," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(3), pages 641-664, April.
    8. Henseler, Martin & Wirsig, Alexander & Herrmann, Sylvia & Krimly, Tatjana & Dabbert, Stephan, 2009. "Modeling the impact of global change on regional agricultural land use through an activity-based non-linear programming approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 100(1-3), pages 31-42, April.
    9. Schönhart, Martin & Schauppenlehner, Thomas & Schmid, Erwin & Muhar, Andreas, 2011. "Integration of bio-physical and economic models to analyze management intensity and landscape structure effects at farm and landscape level," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 122-134, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dono, Gabriele & Cortignani, Raffaele & Dell'Unto, Davide & Deligios, Paola & Doro, Luca & Lacetera, Nicola & Mula, Laura & Pasqui, Massimiliano & Quaresima, Sara & Vitali, Andrea & Roggero, Pier Paol, 2016. "Winners and losers from climate change in agriculture: Insights from a case study in the Mediterranean basin," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 65-75.
    2. Abdul Quddoos & Klaus Salhofer & Ulrich B. Morawetz, 2023. "Utilising farm‐level panel data to estimate climate change impacts and adaptation potentials," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 75-99, February.

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    Land Economics/Use;

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