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Irrigation Demand in a Changing Climate: Using disaggregate data to predict future groundwater use

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  • Shaneyfelt, Calvin R.
  • Schoengold, Dr. Karina

Abstract

The paper estimates an irrigation water demand function using disaggregate climate and well data over a 32 year time period. Aggregating climate information over long periods, like a year, loses important details on temporal climatic variation, while aggregating climate information over space loses important details on spatial variation. This analysis uses disaggregate climate variation at a temporospatial level to determine the effects of climate on groundwater use. Results show that increased heat, measured in cooling degree-days, correlates with increased water use, while increased precipitation correlates with decreased water use. However, the effects are generally magnified for later summer months, and are generally lower earlier in the growing season, with a few notable exceptions. Other factors that significantly affect groundwater irrigation demand are soil type, the price of corn, pumping rate, and the number of certified irrigated acres.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaneyfelt, Calvin R. & Schoengold, Dr. Karina, 2014. "Irrigation Demand in a Changing Climate: Using disaggregate data to predict future groundwater use," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170586, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea14:170586
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.170586
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Qiuqiong Huang & Jinxia Wang & Scott Rozelle & Stephen Polasky & Yang Liu, 2013. "The Effects of Well Management and the Nature of the Aquifer on Groundwater Resources," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 94-116.
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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Production Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;
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