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Country Fixed Effects and Unit Roots: A Comment on Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence

Author

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  • Markus Bruckner

    (School of Economics, University of Adelaide)

Abstract

Djankov and Reynal Querol (2010, RESTAT) show that the level of GDP per capita has no significant effects on the risk of civil war once country fixed effects are accounted for. Therefore, they argue that the relationship between income and civil war is spurious. This paper shows that when focus is on the change, rather than on the level, of GDP per capita that the significant negative relationship between GDP per capita and an indicator variable for civil war is recovered in the country fixed effects regression. In contrast to the argument made in Djankov and Reynal Querol, the paper's findings do not support the claim that the relationship between GDP per capita and civil war is spurious due to timeinvariant omitted variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Bruckner, 2011. "Country Fixed Effects and Unit Roots: A Comment on Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the Evidence," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2011-17, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:adl:wpaper:2011-17
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    File URL: https://media.adelaide.edu.au/economics/papers/doc/wp2011-17.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Markus Brückner & Antonio Ciccone, 2010. "International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(544), pages 519-534, May.
    2. Markus Bruckner & Antonio Ciccone, 2010. "International Commodities Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 1008, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maystadt, Jean-François & Trinh Tan, Jean-François & Breisinger, Clemens, 2014. "Does food security matter for transition in Arab countries?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 106-115.
    2. Almer, Christian & Laurent-Lucchetti, Jérémy & oechslin, Manuel, 2011. "Income shocks and social unrest: theory and evidence," MPRA Paper 34426, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    income; civil war; unbalanced regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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