Report NEP-ETS-2004-10-30

This is the archive for NEP-ETS, a report on new working papers in the area of Econometric Time Series. Yong Yin issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-ETS

The following items were announced in this report:

• Anurag Banerjee, 2004. "Sensitivity of OLS estimates against ARFIMA error process as small sample Test for long memory," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 159, Econometric Society.
• Scott I. White & Adam E. Clements & Stan Hurn, 2004. "Discretised Non-Linear Filtering for Dynamic Latent Variable Models: with Application to Stochastic Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 46, Econometric Society.
• Chew Lian Chua & Peter Summers, 2004. "Structural Error Correction Model: A Bayesian Perspective," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 702, Econometric Society.
• Frank Kleibergen, 2004. "Expansions of GMM statistics that indicate their properties under weak and/or many instruments and the bootstrap," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 408, Econometric Society.
• Shane M. Sherlund, 2004. "Quasi Empirical Likelihood Estimation of Moment Condition Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 507, Econometric Society.
• Jushan Bai; Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2004. "Structural changes, common stochastic trends and unit roots in panel data," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 345, Econometric Society.
• Aurobindo Ghosh & Anil K. Bera, 2004. "Smooth Test Of Density Forecast Evaluation With Independent And Serially Dependent Data," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 319, Econometric Society.
• Michael Dueker, 2004. "Non-Markovian Regime Switching with Endogenous States and Time-Varying State Strengths," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 34, Econometric Society.
• Pentti Saikkonen & Markku Lanne, 2004. "A Skewed GARCH-in-Mean Model: An Application to U.S. Stock Returns," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 469, Econometric Society.
• Keith Freeland & Brendan McCabe & Gael Martin, 2004. "Testing for Dependence in Non-Gaussian Time Series Data," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 313, Econometric Society.
• Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2004. "Bagging Time Series Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 110, Econometric Society.
• Jonathan B. Hill, 2004. "Consistent LM-Tests for Linearity Against Compound Smooth Transition Alternatives," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 42, Econometric Society.
• Chor-yiu SIN, 2004. "Estimation and Testing for Partially Nonstationary Vector Autoregressive Models with GARCH: WLS versus QMLE," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 476, Econometric Society.
• Won Koh & Byoung Cheol Jung & Badi H. Baltagi & Seuck Heun Song, 2004. "Testing for Serial Correlation, Spatial Autocorrelation and Random Effects," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 338, Econometric Society.
• Erick Rengifo & Andresas Heinen, 2004. "Comovements in Trading activity: A Multivariate Autoregressive Model of Time Series Count Data Using Copulas," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 755, Econometric Society.
• Tiemen Woutersen & Robert M. de Jong, 2004. "Dynamic time series binary choice," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 365, Econometric Society.
• Mickael Salabasis & Sune Karlsson, 2004. "Seasonality, Cycles and Unit Roots," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 268, Econometric Society.
• Carlos Velasco & Ignacio N. Lobato, 2004. "A simple and general test for white noise," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 112, Econometric Society.
• Rob L. Hyndman & Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King,, 2004. "Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 120, Econometric Society.
• Luis C. Nunes, 2004. "LM-Type tests for a Unit Root Allowing for a Break in Trend," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 190, Econometric Society.
• Anthony S. Tay & Aamir R. Hashmi, 2004. "Global and Regional Sources of Risk in Equity Markets: Evidence from Factor Models with Time-Varying Conditional Skewness," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 634, Econometric Society.
• Arusha Cooray, 2004. "Do the Stock Markets of South Asia Follow a Random Walk?," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 169, Econometric Society.
• A. Pagan & J. Engel & D. Haugh, 2004. "Some Methods for Assessing the Need for Non-linear Models in Business Cycle Analysis and Forecasting," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 284, Econometric Society.
• Jesus Otero & Jeremy Smith, 2004. "Testing for seasonal unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 21, Econometric Society.
• Giovanni Urga & Lorenzo Trapani, 2004. "Cointegration versus Spurious Regression in Heterogeneous Panels," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 266, Econometric Society.
• Keen Meng Choy & Hwee Kwan Chow, 2004. "Forecasting the Global Electronics Cycle with Leading Indicators: A VAR Approach," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 223, Econometric Society.
• Farshid Vahid & Lin Luo, 2004. "Forecasting Australian GDP Growth Using Coefficients Constrained by A Term Structure Model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 232, Econometric Society.
• Emma Iglesias & Jean Marie Dufour, 2004. "Finite Sample and Optimal Inference in Possibly Nonstationary ARCH Models with Gaussian and Heavy-Tailed Errors," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 161, Econometric Society.
• Chi-Young Choi; Ling Hu; Masao Ogaki, 2004. "A Spurious Regression Approach to Estimating Structural Parameters," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 555, Econometric Society.
• Jin Lee, 2004. "Wavelet transform for log periodogram regression in long memory stochastic volatility model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 682, Econometric Society.
• Mehmet Caner, 2004. "Testing, Estimation and Higher Order Expansions in GMM with Semi-Weak Instruments," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 128, Econometric Society.
• Stan Hurn, 2004. "Testing for Nonlinearity in Mean in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 348, Econometric Society.
• Ilias Tsiakas, 2004. "Analysis of the predictive ability of information accumulated over nights, weekends and holidays," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 208, Econometric Society.
• Allan Timmermann & Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer, 2004. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 601, Econometric Society.
• Don U.A. Galagedera & Roland G. Shami, 2004. "Beta Risk and Regime Shift in Market Volatility," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 126, Econometric Society.
• Scott I White & Ralf Becker & Adam E Clements, 2004. "Forward looking information in S&P 500 options," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 233, Econometric Society.
• Rodney Ramcharan, 2004. "Debt “Hold Up†and International Lending," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 462, Econometric Society.
• Fushang Liu & Kajal Lahiri, 2004. "Determinants of Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty Using a Panel of Density Forecasts," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 329, Econometric Society.
• Gawon Yoon, 2004. "The performance of the tests of linear and logarithmic transformations for integrated processes with stochastic unit roots," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 728, Econometric Society.
• Koichi Maekawa & Sangyeol & Lee, 2004. "The Cusum Test for Parameter Change in Regression with ARCH Errors," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 606, Econometric Society.
• Aurobindo Ghosh & Anil K. Bera, 2004. "A Smooth Test for Density Forecast Evaluation," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 187, Econometric Society.
• Murray D Smith, 2004. "Stochastic Frontier Models With Correlated Error Components," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 121, Econometric Society.
• Christophe Rault, 2004. "Further results on weak-exogeneity in vector error correction models," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 402, Econometric Society.
• Lars Forsberg & Anders Eriksson, 2004. "The Mean Variance Mixing GARCH (1,1) model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 323, Econometric Society.
• Stephen E. Satchell & Shaun A. Bond, 2004. "Asymmetry, Loss Aversion and Forecasting," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 160, Econometric Society.
• Nigel Wilkins, 2004. "Indirect Estimation of Long Memory Volatility Models," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 459, Econometric Society.
• Nagaratnam J Sreedharan, 2004. "A VECM Model of Stockmarket Returns," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 166, Econometric Society.
• Jan M. Podivinsky & Chongcheul Cheong & Maozu Lu, 2004. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on US Imports from the UK: Consistent OLS Estimation with Volatility Measured by An ARCH-type Model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 212, Econometric Society.
• Robert Taylor & Fabio Busetti, 2004. "Stationarity Tests for Irregularly Spaced Observations and the Effects of Sampling Frequency on Power," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 494, Econometric Society.
• Chihwa Kao & Yongmiao Hong, 2004. "Detecting Neglected Nonlinearity in Dynamic Panel Data with Time-Varying Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 753, Econometric Society.
• Hsiao Chiying & Chen Pu, 2004. "Testing Weak Exogeneity in Cointegrated System," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 537, Econometric Society.
• Robert Taylor & Stephen Leybourne & David Harvey, 2004. "Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 64, Econometric Society.
• E. Ruiz & M.A. Carnero & D. Pereira, 2004. "Effects of Level Outliers on the Identification and Estimation of GARCH Models," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 21, Econometric Society.
• Chin Nam Low & Heather Anderson & Ralph Snyder, 2004. "Single Source of Error State Space Approach to the Beveridge Nelson Decomposition," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 242, Econometric Society.
• Gamini Premaratne & Lakshmi Bala, 2004. "Stock Market Volatility: Examining North America, Europe and Asia," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 479, Econometric Society.
• Wei-Ting Tang & Yin-Feng Gau, 2004. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using the Markov-Switching ARCH Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 715, Econometric Society.
• George Milunovich, 2004. "Modeling dependence structure in size-sorted portfolios: A Structural Multivariate GARCH Model," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 55, Econometric Society.
• Minxian Yang, 2004. "Normal Log-normal Mixture: Leptokurtosis, Skewness and Applications," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 186, Econometric Society.
• Richard Paap & Frank Kleibergen, 2004. "Generalized Reduced Rank Tests using the Singular Value Decomposition," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 195, Econometric Society.
• Sanghoon Lee, 2004. "Approximation of A Jump-Diffusion Process," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 412, Econometric Society.
• Chor-yiu SIN, 2004. "Estimation and Testing for Partially Nonstationary Vector Autoregressive Models with GARCH: WLS versus QMLE," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 92, Econometric Society.
• Jae H. Kim, 2004. "Testing for the martingale hypothesis in Asian stock prices: evidence from a new joint variance ratio test," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 98, Econometric Society.
• Gawon Yoon, 2004. "A note on some properties of STUR processes," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 731, Econometric Society.
• Yoon-Jin Lee & Yongmiao Hong, 2004. "Specification Testing for Multivariate Time Series Volatility Models," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 696, Econometric Society.