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International Capital Flows and Domestic Economic Policies

In: The United States in the World Economy

  • Jeffrey A. Frankel
  • Saburo Okita
  • Peter G. Peterson
  • James R. Schlesinger

This paper, written for the NBER Conference on the Changing Role of the United States in the World Economy, covers the capital account in the U.S. balance of payments. It first traces the history from 1946 to 1980, a period throughout which Americans were steadily building up a positive net foreign investment position. It subsequently describes the historic swing of the capital account in the 1980s toward massive borrowing from abroad. There are various factors, in addition to expected rates of return, that encourage or discourage international capital flows: transactions costs, government controls, taxes, default and other political risk and exchange risk. But the paper argues that the increase in real interest rates and other expected rates of return in the United States, relative to other countries, in the early 1980s was the major factor that began to attract large net capital inflows. It concludes that a large increase in the U.S. federal budget deficit, which was not offset by increased private saving, was the major factor behind the increase in real interest rates, and therefore behind the switch to borrowing from abroad.

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This chapter was published in:
  • Martin Feldstein, 1988. "The United States in the World Economy," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number feld88-1, December.
  • This item is provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Chapters with number 6221.
    Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:6221
    Contact details of provider: Postal: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.
    Phone: 617-868-3900
    Web page: http://www.nber.org
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