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Mögliche Auswirkungen der Transatlantischen Handels- und Investitionspartnerschaft (TTIP) auf Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriel Felbermayr
  • Wilhelm Kohler
  • Rahel Aichele
  • Günther Klee
  • Erdal Yalcin

Abstract

TTIP wird, aufgrund der schieren Größe der transatlantischen Volkswirtschaft, Auswirkungen auf Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer haben. Einerseits sollten höhere Einkommen in der EU und den USA die Nachfrage nach Gütern und Dienstleistungen der Drittstaaten steigern, was letzteren zu Guten kommt. Anderseits ist damit zu rechnen, dass das Abkommen Handelsströme der TTIP Partner von den Drittstaaten weglenkt, was ihnen schadet. Per Saldo wird es unter den Entwicklungsländern Gewinner, aber auch Verlierer geben. Für beide Gruppen sind die Effekte allerdings klein. Und es existieren zahlreiche Stellschrauben, um die Gruppe der Gewinner möglichst groß werden zu lassen. In dieser Studie untersucht das ifo Institut München gemeinsam mit dem IAW Tübingen, wie Gefahren für Entwicklungsländer minimiert und Chancen maximiert werden können, so dass das Abkommens zum Keim eines neuen und fairen Welthandelssystems werden kann.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Felbermayr & Wilhelm Kohler & Rahel Aichele & Günther Klee & Erdal Yalcin, 2015. "Mögliche Auswirkungen der Transatlantischen Handels- und Investitionspartnerschaft (TTIP) auf Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 67.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifofob:67
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifo_Forschungsberichte_67.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gabriel Felbermayr & Mario Larch & Finn Krüger & Lisandra Flach & Erdal Yalcin & Sebastian Benz, 2013. "Dimensionen und Auswirkungen eines Freihandelsabkommens zwischen der EU und den USA," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 62, August.
    2. Won Chang & L. Alan Winters, 2015. "How Regional Blocs Affect Excluded Countries: The Price Effects of MERCOSUR," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Non-Tariff Barriers, Regionalism and Poverty Essays in Applied International Trade Analysis, chapter 11, pages 199-214, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Kox, Henk L.M. & Lejour, Arjan, 2006. "Dynamic effects of European services liberalisation: more to be gained," MPRA Paper 3751, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Lionel Fontagné & Julien Gourdon & Sébastien Jean, 2013. "Transatlantic Trade: Whither Partnership, Which Economic Consequences?," CEPII Policy Brief 2013-01, CEPII research center.
    5. E. Baldwin, Richard & Seghezza, Elena, 2010. "Are Trade Blocs Building or Stumbling Blocs?," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 25, pages 276-297.
    6. Baldwin, Richard & Francois, Joseph, 1997. "Preferential Trade Liberalization in the North Atlantic," CEPR Discussion Papers 1611, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Pelkmans, Jacques & Lejour, Arjan & Schrefler, Lorna & Mustilli, Federica & Timini, Jacopo, 2014. "The Impact of TTIP: The underlying economic model and comparisons," CEPS Papers 9710, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    8. repec:sen:rebelj:v:liv:y:2009:i:3:p:294-313 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Joseph Francois & Miriam Manchin & Hanna Norberg & Olga Pindyuk & Patrick Tomberger, 2013. "Reducing Transatlantic Barriers to Trade and Investment: An Economic Assessment," IIDE Discussion Papers 20130401, Institue for International and Development Economics.
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    12. C.L. Gilbert, 2009. "Cocoa Market Liberalization in Retrospect," Review of Business and Economic Literature, Intersentia, vol. 54(3), pages 294-313, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Felbermayr & Wilhelm Kohler, 2015. "TTIP und die Entwicklungsländer: Gefahren, Potenziale und Politikoptionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(02), January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Handelsabkommen; Freihandelszone; Entwicklungsländer; Schwellenländer; Wirkungsanalyse; TTIP;

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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