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Sensitivity Analysis And Future Farm Size Projection Of Bio-Fortified Cassava Production In Oyo State, Nigeria

Author

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  • Kolapo Adetomiwa

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Osun State, Nigeria)

  • Ojo Christianah Funmilayo

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Osun State, Nigeria.)

  • Lawal Adebayo Morenikeji

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Osun State, Nigeria)

  • Abayomi Tajudeen Sarumi

    (Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria.)

  • Muhammed

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Osun State, Nigeria.)

  • Opeyemi Abdulmumin

    (Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria.)

Abstract

The study examined the costs and returns to bio-fortified cassava production and forecast the future farm size of bio-fortified cassava production in Oyo State, Nigeria. A multistage sampling technique was used to select our respondents. Primary data were used for the study which were collected through a well-structured questionnaire. Data collected were analyzed using descriptive, Markov chain, and budgetary analysis. The result of the study showed that TMS 01/0593, TMS 01/0539 and TMS 01/0220 were the mostly grown varies of bio-fortified cassava varieties in Oyo State, Nigeria. The result of the budgetary analysis showed that the average net return (net farm income) from the production of bio-fortified cassava was ₦196710.95 with RORI of 224.95%. The result revealed that at 35% increase in cost of production, the rate of return on investment dropped to 140.70% in which the investment will not be viable. The bio-fortified cassava farmers have a great potential to boost production through increases in farm sizes of the bio-fortified cassava famers until the year 2026 when equilibrium would be attained at about 2.85ha. In order to adequately achieve these goals, more improved varieties of bio-fortified cassava should be provided. Consequently, infrastructures should be put in place to help boost farmers moral in their cause of production.

Suggested Citation

  • Kolapo Adetomiwa & Ojo Christianah Funmilayo & Lawal Adebayo Morenikeji & Abayomi Tajudeen Sarumi & Muhammed & Opeyemi Abdulmumin, 2020. "Sensitivity Analysis And Future Farm Size Projection Of Bio-Fortified Cassava Production In Oyo State, Nigeria," Malaysian Journal of Sustainable Agriculture (MJSA), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 61-66, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:zib:zbmjsa:v:5:y:2021:i:2:p:61-66
    DOI: 10.26480/mjsa.02.2021.61.66
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pannell, David J., 1997. "Sensitivity analysis of normative economic models: theoretical framework and practical strategies," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 139-152, May.
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