IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/mgtdec/v45y2024i6p3791-3804.html

The impact of Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on trade in the Russia‐Ukraine war context

Author

Listed:
  • Yiwen Yang
  • Hsiu‐Chi Wu
  • Sheng‐Ming Hsu
  • Pei‐Yu Chi
  • Chin‐Ho Lin

Abstract

The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is an impending mechanism that imposes a price on emissions embodied in products imported to the European Union (EU). It is expected to impact international trade substantially. Meanwhile, the Russia‐Ukraine war has been ongoing since March 2022, and resources are being redistributed accordingly. This study simulates the potential impact of CBAM on trade in the Russia‐Ukraine war context by employing the Computable General Equilibrium models. The simulation results show that the CBAM will significantly affect selected countries, and the impact will vary across countries and industries. In the context of the Russia‐Ukraine war, the influence on trade will be considerable.

Suggested Citation

  • Yiwen Yang & Hsiu‐Chi Wu & Sheng‐Ming Hsu & Pei‐Yu Chi & Chin‐Ho Lin, 2024. "The impact of Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on trade in the Russia‐Ukraine war context," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(6), pages 3791-3804, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:45:y:2024:i:6:p:3791-3804
    DOI: 10.1002/mde.4228
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4228
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/mde.4228?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Erik Haites, 2018. "Carbon taxes and greenhouse gas emissions trading systems: what have we learned?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 955-966, September.
    2. Tvinnereim, Endre & Mehling, Michael, 2018. "Carbon pricing and deep decarbonisation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 185-189.
    3. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2018. "The energy, environmental and economic impacts of carbon tax rate and taxation industry: A CGE based study in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 558-568.
    4. Brockmeier, Martina, 2001. "A Graphical Exposition Of The Gtap Model," Technical Papers 28706, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Mustafa H. Babiker & Thomas F. Rutherford, 2005. "The Economic Effects of Border Measures in Subglobal Climate Agreements," The Energy Journal, , vol. 26(4), pages 99-126, October.
    6. repec:aen:journl:2010v31-01-a04 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    8. Bergman, Lars, 2005. "CGE Modeling of Environmental Policy and Resource Management," Handbook of Environmental Economics, in: K. G. Mäler & J. R. Vincent (ed.), Handbook of Environmental Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 24, pages 1273-1306, Elsevier.
    9. Michael Keen & Ian Parry & James Roaf, 2022. "Border carbon adjustments: rationale, design and impact," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(3), pages 209-234, September.
    10. repec:aen:journl:2005v26-04-a06 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Jean-Marc Burniaux & Jean Chateau & Romain Duval, 2013. "Is there a case for carbon-based border tax adjustment? An applied general equilibrium analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(16), pages 2231-2240, June.
    12. Zhou, Xin & Yano, Takashi & Kojima, Satoshi, 2013. "Proposal for a national inventory adjustment for trade in the presence of border carbon adjustment: Assessing carbon tax policy in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1098-1110.
    13. Nadim Ahmad & Andrew Wyckoff, 2003. "Carbon Dioxide Emissions Embodied in International Trade of Goods," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2003/15, OECD Publishing.
    14. Chen, Ping-Yu & Chen, Bo-Yu & Tsai, Pei-Hui & Chen, Chi-Chung, 2015. "Evaluating the impacts of a carbon tax on imported forest products—evidence from Taiwan," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 45-52.
    15. Boyce, James K., 2018. "Carbon Pricing: Effectiveness and Equity," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 52-61.
    16. Böhringer, Christoph & Balistreri, Edward J. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2012. "The role of border carbon adjustment in unilateral climate policy: Overview of an Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF 29)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S2), pages 97-110.
    17. Maksym Chepeliev, 2021. "Possible Implications of the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism for Ukraine and Other EU Trading Partners," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(1), pages 1-6.
    18. Bao, Qin & Tang, Ling & Zhang, ZhongXiang & Wang, Shouyang, 2013. "Impacts of border carbon adjustments on China's sectoral emissions: Simulations with a dynamic computable general equilibrium model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 77-94.
    19. Brockmeier, Martina, 2001. "A Graphical Exposition of the GTAP Model," GTAP Technical Papers 311, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    20. Zhong, Jiarui & Pei, Jiansuo, 2022. "Beggar thy neighbor? On the competitiveness and welfare impacts of the EU's proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    21. Thomas W. Hertel & Wallace E. Tyner & Dileep K. Birur, 2010. "The Global Impacts of Biofuel Mandates," The Energy Journal, , vol. 31(1), pages 75-100, January.
    22. Toshi H. Arimura & Makoto Sugino, 2021. "Energy‐Related Environmental Policy and Its Impacts on Energy Use in Asia," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 16(1), pages 44-61, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amendola, Marco, 2025. "Winners and losers of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism. An intra-EU issue?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Curzel, Rosana & Silber, Simão Davi & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2007. "Argentina, Brasil e Uruguai: um estudo dos impactos regionais da ALCA [Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay: a study of the regional impacts of ALCA]," MPRA Paper 54502, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Badri Narayanan G. & Rahul Sen & Sadhana Srivastava, 2025. "The Potential Impact of Tariff Liberalisation on India’s Automobile Industry Global Value Chain Trade: Evidence From an Economy-Wide Model," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 60(1), pages 7-32, February.
    4. Chen, Zhe-Yi & Zhao, Lu-Tao & Cheng, Lei & Qiu, Rui-Xiang, 2025. "How does China respond to the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism? An approach of global trade analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. Theodoros N. Chatzivasileiadis & Marjan W. Hofkes & Onno J. Kuik & Richard S.J. Tol, 2016. "Full economic impacts of sea level rise: loss of productive resources and transport disruptions," Working Paper Series 09916, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    6. Jingzhi Zhu & Yuhuan Zhao & Lu Zheng, 2024. "The Impact of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on China’s Exports to the EU," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-18, January.
    7. Van Ha, Pham & Kompas, Tom & Nguyen, Hoa Thi Minh & Long, Chu Hoang, 2017. "Building a better trade model to determine local effects: A regional and intertemporal GTAP model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 102-113.
    8. Sharif M. Hossain & Ishtiaque Selim, 2023. "Potential impacts of Bangladesh–China free trade area: a general equilibrium analysis," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(12), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Flavio Tosi Feijó, 2018. "Brazilian Competitiveness Of Energy-Intensive And Trade-Exposed Industrial Sectors Vis-À-Vis The Adoption Of Border Carbon Adjustments By The Eu: An Approach Using The Gtap-Ep Model," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 100, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    10. Ali, Ashfaque, 2017. "A CGE Analysis of Pakistan-Turkey Free Trade Agreement," MPRA Paper 78318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Theodoros N. Chatzivasileiadis & Marjan W. Hofkes & Onno J. Kuik & Richard S.J. Tol, 2016. "Full economic impacts of sea level rise: loss of productive resources and transport disruptions," Working Paper Series 9916, Department of Economics, University of Sussex.
    12. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2015. "System-Wide Implications of Changing Water Availability and Agricultural Productivity in the Mediterranean Economies," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 1-30.
    13. Ricardo Arguello, 2004. "An exporatory assessment of the potential impact of the free trade area of the americas on the andean community," Borradores de Investigación 4332, Universidad del Rosario.
    14. Aguiar, Angel & Corong, Erwin & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2020. "The GTAP Recursive Dynamic (GTAP-RD) Model: Version 1.0," Conference papers 333133, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Erwin Corong & Thomas Hertel & Robert McDougall & Marinos Tsigas & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2017. "The Standard GTAP Model, version 7," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 2(1), pages 1-119, June.
    16. repec:grz:wpaper:2013-03 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Adam Rose & Terrie Walmsley & Dan Wei, 2021. "Spatial transmission of the economic impacts of COVID-19 through international trade," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 169-196, August.
    18. Dong, Yanli & Ishikawa, Masanobu & Hagiwara, Taiji, 2015. "Economic and environmental impact analysis of carbon tariffs on Chinese exports," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 80-95.
    19. McDonald, Scott & Sonmez, Yontem & Perraton, Jonathan, 2006. "Labour Migration and Remittances: Some Implications of Turkish Workers in Germany," Conference papers 331524, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    20. Xiongfeng Pan & Mengna Li & Chenxi Pu & Haitao Xu, 2021. "Study on the industrial structure optimization under constraint of energy intensity," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(1), pages 134-151, February.
    21. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2019. "The Standard GTAP Model in GAMS, Version 7.1," GTAP Technical Papers 6825, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:45:y:2024:i:6:p:3791-3804. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/7976 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.